PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Inter 2–2 Cagliari · Serie A

Inter

WWDWW
2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter and Cagliari drew 2–2.

Shots
1510
Shots on target
76
Expected goals
2.071.07
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter and Cagliari drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Inter – Cagliari): shots 15–10, shots on target 7–6, expected goals 2.07–1.07, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cagliari's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cagliari's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.06 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cagliari have a visible away split

moderate

Cagliari's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.56 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.56 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsInter · Cagliari11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInterCagliariBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against10 shots/match13 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots10 shotsInter 15 shots, Cagliari 10 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots6 shotsInter 7 shots, Cagliari 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.07 xG1.07 xGInter 2.07 xG, Cagliari 1.07 xG
  • Possession63%37%Inter 63%, Cagliari 37%
  • Corners7 corners0 cornersInter 7 corners, Cagliari 0 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls10 foulsInter 5 fouls, Cagliari 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nicolò Barella · Inter · 5′ · 0.01 xG · on targetNicolò Barella · Inter · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedZito Luvumbo · Cagliari · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Sulemana · Cagliari · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 48′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlexis Sánchez · Inter · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Sánchez · Inter · 63′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDavide Frattesi · Inter · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavide Frattesi · Inter · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdam Obert · Cagliari · 56′ · 0.03 xG · on targetYann Bisseck · Inter · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 62′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlexis Sánchez · Inter · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedZito Luvumbo · Cagliari · 17′ · 0.05 xG · on targetNicolas Viola · Cagliari · 85′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEldor Shomurodov · Cagliari · 38′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Bastoni · Inter · 49′ · 0.12 xG · on targetEldor Shomurodov · Cagliari · 64′ · 0.12 xG · goalNicolas Viola · Cagliari · 90′ · 0.13 xG · on targetNicolas Viola · Cagliari · 83′ · 0.20 xG · goalAlexis Sánchez · Inter · 22′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedEldor Shomurodov · Cagliari · 26′ · 0.37 xG · on targetMarcus Thuram · Inter · 12′ · 0.51 xG · goalHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 74′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Inter: 15 shots, 7 on target, 2.06 xG. Cagliari: 10 shots, 6 on target, 1.09 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Marcus Thuram · Inter · 12′Hakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 74′Eldor Shomurodov · Cagliari · 64′Nicolas Viola · Cagliari · 83′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Inter 2.06 xG · Cagliari 1.09 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Inter
0Draws
0Cagliari
Cagliari — Inter · Serie A0–2
Cagliari — Inter · Serie A1–3
Inter — Cagliari · Serie A4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Inter favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Cagliari in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Inter32 matchesCagliari32 matches
2.41 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/321.06 goals/match
0.53 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/321.69 goals/match
2.15 xG/match ▲Expected goals32/321.07 xG/match
15.8 shots/match ▲Shots32/3211.8 shots/match
5.63 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/323.53 shots/match
56.5% ●Possession32/3242.7%
6.25 corners/match ●Corners32/324.72 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls32/3212.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Apr 2024, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsInterCagliari
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headInter — Cagliari
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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