Serie A · 2023

Sassuolo 3–3 Milan · Serie A

3–3Historical match

Milan

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A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sassuolo and Milan drew 3–3.

Shots
1023
Shots on target
57
Expected goals
1.192.84
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sassuolo and Milan drew 3–3. Recorded in this match (Sassuolo – Milan): shots 10–23, shots on target 5–7, expected goals 1.19–2.84, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Milan's recent record differs from the season

weak

Milan's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.97 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.97 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Milan show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Milan's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsSassuolo · Milan14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSassuoloMilanBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match14.3 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against14.7 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Milan have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.4%PossessionSassuolo · Milan● 56.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSassuoloMilanBaseline
Possession44.4%56.7%50.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots23 shotsSassuolo 10 shots, Milan 23 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots7 shotsSassuolo 5 shots, Milan 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.19 xG2.84 xGSassuolo 1.19 xG, Milan 2.84 xG
  • Possession33%67%Sassuolo 33%, Milan 67%
  • Corners2 corners6 cornersSassuolo 2 corners, Milan 6 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls9 foulsSassuolo 12 fouls, Milan 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alessandro Florenzi · Milan · 45′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAlessandro Florenzi · Milan · 81′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Florenzi · Milan · 1′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTheo Hernández · Milan · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Henrique · Sassuolo · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRafael Leão · Milan · 13′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Florenzi · Milan · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Chukwueze · Milan · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRuben Loftus-Cheek · Milan · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArmand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSimon Kjær · Milan · 13′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Chukwueze · Milan · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCristian Volpato · Sassuolo · 24′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTheo Hernández · Milan · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedArmand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Pinamonti · Sassuolo · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTheo Hernández · Milan · 8′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSimon Kjær · Milan · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTheo Hernández · Milan · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSamuel Chukwueze · Milan · 11′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKristian Thorstvedt · Sassuolo · 53′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedArmand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 53′ · 0.07 xG · goalOlivier Giroud · Milan · 62′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRuben Loftus-Cheek · Milan · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Pinamonti · Sassuolo · 4′ · 0.09 xG · goalArmand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 10′ · 0.09 xG · on targetRafael Leão · Milan · 20′ · 0.14 xG · goalNoah Okafor · Milan · 84′ · 0.20 xG · goalOlivier Giroud · Milan · 86′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedMalick Thiaw · Milan · 13′ · 0.26 xG · on targetChristian Pulišić · Milan · 78′ · 0.66 xG · on targetLuka Jović · Milan · 59′ · 0.72 xG · goalArmand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 10′ · 0.80 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sassuolo: 10 shots, 5 on target, 1.29 xG. Milan: 23 shots, 7 on target, 2.87 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Andrea Pinamonti · Sassuolo · 4′Armand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 10′Armand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 53′Rafael Leão · Milan · 20′Luka Jović · Milan · 59′Noah Okafor · Milan · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sassuolo 1.29 xG · Milan 2.87 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Sassuolo
1Draws
2Milan
Milan — Sassuolo · Serie A1–0
Milan — Sassuolo · Serie A2–5
Sassuolo — Milan · Serie A0–0
Sassuolo — Milan · Serie A0–3
Milan — Sassuolo · Serie A1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sassuolo favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Milan in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sassuolo32 matchesMilan32 matches
1.22 goals/matchGoals scored32/32▲ 1.97 goals/match
1.94 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲ 1.16 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals32/32▲ 1.67 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots32/32▲ 14.3 shots/match
4.31 shots/matchShots on target32/32▲ 5.5 shots/match
44.4%Possession32/32● 56.7%
5.44 corners/match ●Corners32/324.66 corners/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls32/3211.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Apr 2024, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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