Serie A · 2023Fri, 19 Apr 2024, 18:45 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Cagliari

WLDWD

2–2Full-time recap

Juventus

DDLWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Cagliari	Juventus
Shots	9 shots/match	11 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	2.19 xG/match▲	0.66 xG/match
Possession	26%	74%●
Corners	4 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	16 fouls/match	15 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Juventus's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Cagliari's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Juventus's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Juventus's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.42 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	1.42 goals/match	1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cagliari have a visible home split

moderate

Cagliari's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.8 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.8 shots/match	11.7 shots/match	12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Cagliari

0Draws

3Juventus

11 Nov 2023Juventus — Cagliari · Serie A2–1

9 Apr 2022Cagliari — Juventus · Serie A1–2

21 Dec 2021Juventus — Cagliari · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Cagliari favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Juventus in 11 · 2 too close

1.09 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 33/33▲1.42 goals/match

1.7 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 33/33▲0.79 goals/match

1.11 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 33/33▲1.49 xG/match

1.42 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 33/33▲0.77 xG/match

11.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 33/33▲13.8 shots/match

12.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 33/33▲11.5 shots/match

3.55 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 33/33▲3.94 shots/match

4.09 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 33/33▲3.03 shots/match

42.2%Possessionseason · 33/33●48.5%

4.7 corners/matchCornersseason · 33/33●4.97 corners/match

5.73 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 33/33▲4.52 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 33/3312.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

12%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 33/33▲45%

70%Scoring frequencyseason · 33/33▲82%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Cagliari7.5

Juventus42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Cagliari32.5

Juventus65.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Cagliari39.2

Juventus84.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Cagliari72.5

Juventus82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Cagliari62.5

Juventus57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Cagliari47.5

Juventus62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Cagliari41.2

Juventus61.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Cagliari33 matchesJuventus33 matches

1.09 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲1.42 goals/match

1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲0.79 goals/match

1.11 xG/matchExpected goals33/33▲1.49 xG/match

11.7 shots/matchShots33/33▲13.8 shots/match

3.55 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲3.94 shots/match

42.2%Possession33/33●48.5%

4.7 corners/matchCorners33/33●4.97 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.4 fouls/matchFouls33/3312.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Cagliari17 matchesJuventus17 matches

1.47 goals/matchGoals scored17/171.41 goals/match

1.65 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲0.94 goals/match

1.47 xG/matchExpected goals17/171.42 xG/match

13.8 shots/match▲Shots17/1712.7 shots/match

4.29 shots/match▲Shots on target17/173.76 shots/match

41.7%Possession17/17●48.9%

5.35 corners/match●Corners17/174 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.6 fouls/matchFouls17/1712 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.11 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples33 / 33home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 19 Apr 2024, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4