PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Genoa 0–1 Lazio · Serie A

Genoa

LDDWD
0–1Historical match

Lazio

LWWLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lazio won 0–1.

Shots
813
Shots on target
21
Expected goals
0.521.08
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lazio beat Genoa 1–0. Recorded in this match (Genoa – Lazio): shots 8–13, shots on target 2–1, expected goals 0.52–1.08, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lazio's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lazio's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.27 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Genoa.

4 days ▲Rest daysGenoa · Lazio6.91 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricGenoaLazioBaseline
Rest days4 days6.91 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Genoa have a visible home split

moderate

Genoa's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots13 shotsGenoa 8 shots, Lazio 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots1 shotGenoa 2 shots, Lazio 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.52 xG1.08 xGGenoa 0.52 xG, Lazio 1.08 xG
  • Possession39%61%Genoa 39%, Lazio 61%
  • Corners2 corners9 cornersGenoa 2 corners, Lazio 9 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls13 foulsGenoa 7 fouls, Lazio 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mario Gila Fuentes · Lazio · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFelipe Anderson · Lazio · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Genoa · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Genoa · 75′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMateo Retegui · Genoa · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Casale · Lazio · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPatric · Lazio · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedManuel Lazzari · Lazio · 24′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDaichi Kamada · Lazio · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCaleb Ekuban · Genoa · 5′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCaleb Ekuban · Genoa · 34′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKoni De Winter · Genoa · 41′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDaichi Kamada · Lazio · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLuis Alberto · Lazio · 53′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlessio Romagnoli · Lazio · 65′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Genoa · 13′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedFelipe Anderson · Lazio · 61′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedCaleb Ekuban · Genoa · 45′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedLuis Alberto · Lazio · 67′ · 0.50 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Genoa: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.52 xG. Lazio: 13 shots, 1 on target, 1.09 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Luis Alberto · Lazio · 67′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Genoa 0.52 xG · Lazio 1.09 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Genoa
0Draws
2Lazio
Lazio — Genoa · Serie A0–1
Genoa — Lazio · Serie A1–4
Lazio — Genoa · Serie A3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Genoa favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Lazio in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Genoa33 matchesLazio33 matches
1.06 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲ 1.27 goals/match
1.21 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲ 1.06 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals33/33▲ 1.26 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots33/33▲ 11.7 shots/match
3.36 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲ 3.55 shots/match
43.7%Possession33/33● 53%
3.94 corners/matchCorners33/33● 5.36 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls33/3312.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 19 Apr 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGenoaLazio
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headGenoa — Lazio
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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