Serie A · 2023Fri, 19 Apr 2024, 16:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Genoa

LDDWD

0–1Full-time recap

Lazio

LWWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Genoa	Lazio
Shots	8 shots/match	13 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	0.52 xG/match	1.08 xG/match▲
Possession	39%	61%●
Corners	2 corners/match	9 corners/match●
Fouls	7 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Genoa: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.52 xG. Lazio: 13 shots, 1 on target, 1.09 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Genoa 0.52 xG · Lazio 1.09 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Lazio's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Genoa. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Lazio's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lazio's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	1.27 goals/match	1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Genoa.

4 days▲Rest daysGenoa · Lazio6.91 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Genoa	Lazio	Baseline
Rest days	4 days	6.91 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Genoa have a visible home split

moderate

Genoa's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.4 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season10.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	12.4 shots/match	10.6 shots/match	12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Genoa

0Draws

2Lazio

27 Aug 2023Lazio — Genoa · Serie A0–1

10 Apr 2022Genoa — Lazio · Serie A1–4

17 Dec 2021Lazio — Genoa · Serie A3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Genoa favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Lazio in 7 · 5 too close

1.06 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 33/33▲1.27 goals/match

1.21 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 33/33▲1.06 goals/match

0.95 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 33/33▲1.26 xG/match

1.09 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 33/331.12 xG/match

10.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 33/33▲11.7 shots/match

12.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 33/3312.7 shots/match

3.36 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 33/33▲3.55 shots/match

3.64 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 33/333.88 shots/match

43.7%Possessionseason · 33/33●53%

3.94 corners/matchCornersseason · 33/33●5.36 corners/match

5.24 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 33/33▲4.52 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 33/3312.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

21%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 33/33▲33%

73%Scoring frequencyseason · 33/3376%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Genoa12.5

Lazio67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Genoa17.5

Lazio37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Genoa60

Lazio65

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Genoa42.5

Lazio12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Genoa32.5

Lazio42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Genoa7.5

Lazio77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Genoa15

Lazio43.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Genoa33 matchesLazio33 matches

1.06 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲1.27 goals/match

1.21 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲1.06 goals/match

0.95 xG/matchExpected goals33/33▲1.26 xG/match

10.6 shots/matchShots33/33▲11.7 shots/match

3.36 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲3.55 shots/match

43.7%Possession33/33●53%

3.94 corners/matchCorners33/33●5.36 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.9 fouls/matchFouls33/3312.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Genoa16 matchesLazio17 matches

1.25 goals/matchGoals scored16/17▲1.35 goals/match

1.31 goals/matchGoals allowed16/171.29 goals/match

1.01 xG/matchExpected goals16/17▲1.18 xG/match

12.4 shots/match▲Shots16/1711.7 shots/match

3.88 shots/match▲Shots on target16/173.41 shots/match

46.3%Possession16/17●53%

5.19 corners/matchCorners16/17●5.29 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls16/1712.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.91 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples33 / 33home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 19 Apr 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4