Serie A · 2024Fri, 30 Aug 2024, 18:45 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
40Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricInterAtalanta
Shots13 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals1.31 xG/match1.36 xG/match
Possession55%45%
Corners3 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls6 fouls/match15 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: Inter have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.67 corners/matchCornersInter · Atalanta4.33 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricInterAtalantaBaseline
Corners5.67 corners/match4.33 corners/match3.67 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Inter have recorded the higher season possession share.

61%PossessionInter · Atalanta52%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricInterAtalantaBaseline
Possession61%52%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

4Inter
1Draws
0Atalanta
InterAtalanta · Serie A40
AtalantaInter · Serie A12
InterAtalanta · Serie A32
AtalantaInter · Serie A23
AtalantaInter · Serie A00

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Inter favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Atalanta in 0 · 13 too close

2.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/31.67 goals/match
0.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/32 goals/match
1.9 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/32.08 xG/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.76 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/315.7 shots/match
11.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/315.7 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/35.33 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/35 shots/match
61%Possessionseason · 3/352%
5.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/34.33 corners/match
3.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/34 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/317.7 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
67%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/333%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Inter87.5
Atalanta62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Inter62.5
Atalanta70.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Inter87.5
Atalanta37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Inter37.5
Atalanta87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Inter12.5
Atalanta87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Inter87.5
Atalanta62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Inter50
Atalanta78.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Inter3 matchesAtalanta3 matches
2.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.67 goals/match
0.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/32 goals/match
1.9 xG/matchExpected goals3/32.08 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots3/315.7 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target3/35.33 shots/match
61%Possession3/352%
5.67 corners/matchCorners3/34.33 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.3 fouls/matchFouls3/317.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Inter2 matchesAtalanta3 matches
Goals scored2/31.67 goals/match
Goals allowed2/32 goals/match
Expected goals2/32.08 xG/match
Shots2/315.7 shots/match
Shots on target2/35.33 shots/match
Possession2/352%
Corners2/34.33 corners/match
Cards0/0
Fouls2/317.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.09 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 30 Aug 2024, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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