Serie A · 2024Fri, 30 Aug 2024, 16:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
01Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricVeneziaTorino
Shots13 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match6 shots/match
Expected goals0.84 xG/match1.04 xG/match
Possession42%58%
Corners3 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Samuele Ricci · Torino · 56′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJoel Pohjanpalo · Venezia · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIssa Doumbia · Venezia · 70′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIvan Ilić · Torino · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMikael Ellertsson · Venezia · 13′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHans Nicolussi Caviglia · Venezia · 14′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIssa Doumbia · Venezia · 80′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHans Nicolussi Caviglia · Venezia · 15′ · 0.04 xG · on targetHans Nicolussi Caviglia · Venezia · 40′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSamuele Ricci · Torino · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJay Idzes · Venezia · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKarol Linetty · Torino · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChe Adams · Torino · 11′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedChe Adams · Torino · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetIvan Ilić · Torino · 54′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDuván Zapata · Torino · 31′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJay Idzes · Venezia · 49′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDuván Zapata · Torino · 3′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedChristian Gytkjær · Venezia · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedHans Nicolussi Caviglia · Venezia · 57′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Candela · Venezia · 65′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedChe Adams · Torino · 18′ · 0.15 xG · on targetMikael Ellertsson · Venezia · 71′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedSaúl Coco · Torino · 86′ · 0.15 xG · goalDuván Zapata · Torino · 18′ · 0.37 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Venezia: 13 shots, 4 on target, 0.84 xG. Torino: 12 shots, 6 on target, 1.13 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Saúl Coco · Torino · 86′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Venezia 0.84 xG · Torino 1.13 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Venezia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Torino have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Venezia show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Venezia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.7 shots/matchShotsVenezia · Torino10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVeneziaTorinoBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match10.7 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against13 shots/match21.3 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Torino have recorded the higher season possession share.

40%PossessionVenezia · Torino48%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVeneziaTorinoBaseline
Possession40%48%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Venezia
1Draws
0Torino
TorinoVenezia · Serie A12
VeneziaTorino · Serie A11

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Venezia favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Torino in 0 · 13 too close

0.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/31.67 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31 goals/match
0.7 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.47 xG/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/32.04 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/310.7 shots/match
13 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/321.3 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/35.33 shots/match
6.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/36.33 shots/match
40%Possessionseason · 3/348%
3 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/33 corners/match
5.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/36 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
13 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/311 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/333%
33%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Venezia12.5
Torino37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Venezia16.7
Torino50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Venezia37.5
Torino37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Venezia62.5
Torino12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Venezia62.5
Torino37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Venezia25
Torino25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Venezia31.2
Torino40.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Venezia3 matchesTorino3 matches
0.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.67 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31 goals/match
0.7 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.47 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots3/310.7 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target3/35.33 shots/match
40%Possession3/348%
3 corners/matchCorners3/33 corners/match
Cards0/0
13 fouls/matchFouls3/311 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Venezia1 matchesTorino2 matches
Goals scored1/2
Goals allowed1/2
Expected goals1/2
Shots1/2
Shots on target1/2
Possession1/2
Corners1/2
Cards0/0
Fouls1/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 30 Aug 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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