Serie A · 2024

Lecce 1–0 Cagliari · Serie A

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lecce won 1–0.

Shots
1721
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.71.88
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lecce beat Cagliari 1–0. Recorded in this match (Lecce – Cagliari): shots 17–21, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.7–1.88, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lecce show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Lecce's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsLecce · Cagliari15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLecceCagliariBaseline
Shots16 shots/match15 shots/match14.2 shots/match
Shots against14.3 shots/match15.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Cagliari have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.3%PossessionLecce · Cagliari● 51.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLecceCagliariBaseline
Possession40.3%51.7%51.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots21 shotsLecce 17 shots, Cagliari 21 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsLecce 4 shots, Cagliari 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.7 xG1.88 xGLecce 1.7 xG, Cagliari 1.88 xG
  • Possession35%65%Lecce 35%, Cagliari 65%
  • Corners7 corners10 cornersLecce 7 corners, Cagliari 10 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls13 foulsLecce 10 fouls, Cagliari 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Balthazar Pierret · Lecce · 12′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMattia Felici · Cagliari · 80′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Luperto · Cagliari · 88′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Pierotti · Lecce · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Dorgu · Lecce · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTommaso Augello · Cagliari · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 63′ · 0.02 xG · on targetYerry Mina · Cagliari · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Deiola · Cagliari · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLameck Banda · Lecce · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRémi Oudin · Lecce · 43′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRăzvan Marin · Cagliari · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFrédéric Guilbert · Lecce · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Lapadula · Cagliari · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Luperto · Cagliari · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKialonda Gaspar · Lecce · 43′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Lapadula · Cagliari · 89′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKialonda Gaspar · Lecce · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Pierotti · Lecce · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 7′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 21′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLameck Banda · Lecce · 62′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Lapadula · Cagliari · 63′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedZito Luvumbo · Cagliari · 27′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 27′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedYerry Mina · Cagliari · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Pierotti · Lecce · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 11′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedPaulo Azzi · Cagliari · 54′ · 0.12 xG · on targetNicolas Viola · Cagliari · 89′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedZito Luvumbo · Cagliari · 15′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 64′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Lapadula · Cagliari · 57′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 7′ · 0.24 xG · on targetPaulo Azzi · Cagliari · 45′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 26′ · 0.29 xG · goalZito Luvumbo · Cagliari · 85′ · 0.31 xG · on targetPatrick Dorgu · Lecce · 37′ · 0.55 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lecce: 17 shots, 4 on target, 1.71 xG. Cagliari: 21 shots, 2 on target, 1.86 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Nikola Krstović · Lecce · 26′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lecce 1.71 xG · Cagliari 1.86 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Lecce
2Draws
0Cagliari
Cagliari — Lecce · Serie A1–1
Lecce — Cagliari · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lecce favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Cagliari in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lecce3 matchesCagliari3 matches
0.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/30.33 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 0.67 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.22 xG/match
16 shots/match ▲Shots3/315 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/33 shots/match
40.3%Possession3/3● 51.7%
6 corners/matchCorners3/3● 6.67 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls3/313.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Aug 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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