Serie A · 2024Sat, 31 Aug 2024, 18:45 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Napoli

2–1Full-time recap

Parma

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Napoli	Parma
Shots	29 shots/match▲	13 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	2.19 xG/match▲	1.76 xG/match
Possession	54%●	46%
Corners	6 corners/match●	4 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	6 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Napoli: 29 shots, 7 on target, 2.19 xG. Parma: 13 shots, 2 on target, 1.80 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Napoli 2.19 xG · Parma 1.80 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Napoli's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Napoli have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Napoli show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Napoli's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.7 shots/match▲ShotsNapoli · Parma12 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Napoli	Parma	Baseline
Shots	19.7 shots/match	12 shots/match	14.2 shots/match
Shots against	10 shots/match	20.3 shots/match	13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Napoli have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.3%●PossessionNapoli · Parma41.3%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Napoli	Parma	Baseline
Possession	53.3%	41.3%	51.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Napoli favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Parma in 0 · 13 too close

1.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/31.33 goals/match

1.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31.33 goals/match

1.87 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.77 xG/match

1.42 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.63 xG/match

19.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/312 shots/match

10 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/320.3 shots/match

5.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/34.33 shots/match

2.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/36.33 shots/match

53.3%●Possessionseason · 3/341.3%

6 corners/match●Cornersseason · 3/33.67 corners/match

3.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/38 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/310 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/30%

67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Napoli62.5

Parma29.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Napoli81.9

Parma40.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Napoli73.6

Parma27.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Napoli87.5

Parma62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Napoli50

Parma4.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Napoli58.3

Parma20.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Napoli71.8

Parma25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Napoli3 matchesParma3 matches

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored3/31.33 goals/match

1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31.33 goals/match

1.87 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.77 xG/match

19.7 shots/match▲Shots3/312 shots/match

5.33 shots/match▲Shots on target3/34.33 shots/match

53.3%●Possession3/341.3%

6 corners/match●Corners3/33.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12 fouls/matchFouls3/310 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Napoli2 matchesParma1 matches

—Goals scored2/1—

—Goals allowed2/1—

—Expected goals2/1—

—Shots2/1—

—Shots on target2/1—

—Possession2/1—

—Corners2/1—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/1—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.09 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Aug 2024, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4