Serie A · 2024

Lazio 2–2 Milan · Serie A

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lazio and Milan drew 2–2.

Shots
710
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
2.071.29
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lazio and Milan drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Lazio – Milan): shots 7–10, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 2.07–1.29, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

8 corners/matchCornersLazio · Milan● 8.33 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricLazioMilanBaseline
Corners8 corners/match8.33 corners/match5.83 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Lazio show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Lazio's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsLazio · Milan17.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLazioMilanBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match17.7 shots/match14.2 shots/match
Shots against9.67 shots/match7.67 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots10 shotsLazio 7 shots, Milan 10 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsLazio 5 shots, Milan 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.07 xG1.29 xGLazio 2.07 xG, Milan 1.29 xG
  • Possession42%58%Lazio 42%, Milan 58%
  • Corners5 corners7 cornersLazio 5 corners, Milan 7 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls9 foulsLazio 12 fouls, Milan 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Yunus Musah · Milan · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLoum Tchaouna · Lazio · 11′ · 0.03 xG · on targetYoussouf Fofana · Milan · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNoah Okafor · Milan · 31′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChristian Pulišić · Milan · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTammy Abraham · Milan · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 10′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFilippo Terracciano · Milan · 59′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBoulaye Dia · Lazio · 2′ · 0.09 xG · on targetRafael Leão · Milan · 72′ · 0.09 xG · goalSamuel Chukwueze · Milan · 17′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 64′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedTammy Abraham · Milan · 90′ · 0.22 xG · on targetMattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 80′ · 0.32 xG · on targetValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 62′ · 0.57 xG · goalStrahinja Pavlović · Milan · 8′ · 0.63 xG · goalBoulaye Dia · Lazio · 66′ · 0.87 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lazio: 7 shots, 5 on target, 2.05 xG. Milan: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.27 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Valentín Castellanos · Lazio · 62′Boulaye Dia · Lazio · 66′Strahinja Pavlović · Milan · 8′Rafael Leão · Milan · 72′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lazio 2.05 xG · Milan 1.27 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lazio
0Draws
4Milan
Lazio — Milan · Serie A0–1
Milan — Lazio · Serie A2–0
Milan — Lazio · Serie A2–0
Lazio — Milan · Serie A4–0
Lazio — Milan · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lazio favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Milan in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lazio3 matchesMilan3 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/31.67 goals/match
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/32 goals/match
1.92 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/31.79 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 17.7 shots/match
5.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/35 shots/match
58%Possession3/3● 58.3%
8 corners/matchCorners3/3● 8.33 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls3/310.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Aug 2024, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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