Serie A · 2024

Parma 2–1 Milan · Serie A

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Parma won 2–1.

Shots
917
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
1.731.95
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Parma beat Milan 2–1. Recorded in this match (Parma – Milan): shots 9–17, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.73–1.95, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots17 shotsParma 9 shots, Milan 17 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsParma 5 shots, Milan 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.73 xG1.95 xGParma 1.73 xG, Milan 1.95 xG
  • Possession39%61%Parma 39%, Milan 61%
  • Corners3 corners9 cornersParma 3 corners, Milan 9 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls13 foulsParma 9 fouls, Milan 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Theo Hernández · Milan · 21′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNahuel Estévez · Parma · 38′ · 0.01 xG · on targetTheo Hernández · Milan · 42′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTijjani Reijnders · Milan · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRafael Leão · Milan · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTijjani Reijnders · Milan · 32′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPontus Almqvist · Parma · 86′ · 0.04 xG · on targetYunus Musah · Milan · 22′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTheo Hernández · Milan · 56′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRafael Leão · Milan · 89′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRafael Leão · Milan · 68′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDennis Man · Parma · 44′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNoah Okafor · Milan · 57′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRafael Leão · Milan · 49′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedChristian Pulišić · Milan · 49′ · 0.08 xG · on targetStrahinja Pavlović · Milan · 31′ · 0.09 xG · on targetValentin Mihăilă · Parma · 45′ · 0.09 xG · on targetDennis Man · Parma · 62′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedStrahinja Pavlović · Milan · 37′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedNoah Okafor · Milan · 30′ · 0.13 xG · on targetAnge-Yoan Bonny · Parma · 11′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedSimon Sohm · Parma · 42′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedNoah Okafor · Milan · 48′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedDennis Man · Parma · 2′ · 0.48 xG · goalMatteo Cancellieri · Parma · 77′ · 0.61 xG · goalChristian Pulišić · Milan · 66′ · 0.85 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Parma: 9 shots, 5 on target, 1.71 xG. Milan: 17 shots, 5 on target, 1.89 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Dennis Man · Parma · 2′Matteo Cancellieri · Parma · 77′Christian Pulišić · Milan · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Parma 1.71 xG · Milan 1.89 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

  • Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.91 days

Parma / Milan

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Aug 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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