Serie A · 2024Sat, 24 Aug 2024, 18:45 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
20Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricInterLecce
Shots11 shots/match10 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals2.42 xG/match0.27 xG/match
Possession61%39%
Corners10 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Nikola Krstović · Lecce · 20′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMedon Berisha · Lecce · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLameck Banda · Lecce · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedValentin Gendrey · Lecce · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 32′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFederico Baschirotto · Lecce · 52′ · 0.03 xG · on targetYlber Ramadani · Lecce · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 67′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPatrick Dorgu · Lecce · 88′ · 0.04 xG · on targetHamza Rafia · Lecce · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 50′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Barella · Inter · 14′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 53′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMehdi Taremi · Inter · 5′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 53′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 49′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedMarko Arnautović · Inter · 77′ · 0.39 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Darmian · Inter · 5′ · 0.46 xG · goalHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 70′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Inter: 11 shots, 3 on target, 2.53 xG. Lecce: 10 shots, 4 on target, 0.26 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Matteo Darmian · Inter · 5′Hakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 70′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Inter 2.53 xG · Lecce 0.26 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

4Inter
0Draws
0Lecce
LecceInter · Serie A04
InterLecce · Serie A20
InterLecce · Serie A20
LecceInter · Serie A12

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Inter favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Lecce in 0 · 13 too close

Goals scoredseason · 2/2
Goals allowedseason · 2/2
Expected goalsseason · 2/2
Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2
Shotsseason · 2/2
Shots allowedseason · 2/2
Shots on targetseason · 2/2
Shots on target allowedseason · 2/2
Possessionseason · 2/2
Cornersseason · 2/2
Corners allowedseason · 2/2
Cardsseason · 0/0
Foulsseason · 2/2
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 2/2
Scoring frequencyseason · 2/2

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Inter
Lecce
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Inter
Lecce
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Inter
Lecce
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Inter
Lecce
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Inter
Lecce
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Inter
Lecce
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Inter
Lecce
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Inter2 matchesLecce2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Inter1 matchesLecce1 matches
Goals scored1/1
Goals allowed1/1
Expected goals1/1
Shots1/1
Shots on target1/1
Possession1/1
Corners1/1
Cards0/0
Fouls1/1

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.09 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.09 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Aug 2024, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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Inter vs Lecce — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath