Serie A · 2024Mon, 26 Aug 2024, 16:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCagliariComo
Shots11 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals0.81 xG/match1.53 xG/match
Possession47%53%
Corners5 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Nico Paz · Como · 70′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRăzvan Marin · Cagliari · 86′ · 0.01 xG · on targetGabriel Strefezza · Como · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moreno · Como · 11′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGabriel Strefezza · Como · 33′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGabriel Strefezza · Como · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Belotti · Como · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Cutrone · Como · 32′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPaulo Azzi · Cagliari · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYerry Mina · Cagliari · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucas Da Cunha · Como · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPaulo Azzi · Cagliari · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPatrick Cutrone · Como · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMichel Adopo · Cagliari · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Deiola · Cagliari · 60′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTommaso Augello · Cagliari · 68′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedZito Luvumbo · Cagliari · 13′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 24′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAlberto Dossena · Como · 53′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Cutrone · Como · 70′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Lapadula · Cagliari · 77′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAlberto Cerri · Como · 90′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 44′ · 0.37 xG · goalAlberto Cerri · Como · 90′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Cutrone · Como · 53′ · 0.46 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cagliari: 11 shots, 5 on target, 0.84 xG. Como: 14 shots, 4 on target, 1.50 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Roberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 44′Patrick Cutrone · Como · 53′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cagliari 0.84 xG · Como 1.50 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Cagliari favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Como in 0 · 13 too close

Goals scoredseason · 2/2
Goals allowedseason · 2/2
Expected goalsseason · 2/2
Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2
Shotsseason · 2/2
Shots allowedseason · 2/2
Shots on targetseason · 2/2
Shots on target allowedseason · 2/2
Possessionseason · 2/2
Cornersseason · 2/2
Corners allowedseason · 2/2
Cardsseason · 0/0
Foulsseason · 2/2
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 2/2
Scoring frequencyseason · 2/2

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Cagliari
Como
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Cagliari
Como
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Cagliari
Como
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Cagliari
Como
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Cagliari
Como
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Cagliari
Como
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Cagliari
Como
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Cagliari2 matchesComo2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Cagliari2 matchesComo2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.91 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.91 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 26 Aug 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Cagliari vs Como — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath