Serie A · 2024Sun, 25 Aug 2024, 18:45 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
12Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricRomaEmpoli
Shots27 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals2.19 xG/match2.87 xG/match
Possession73%27%
Corners8 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Lorenzo Pellegrini · Roma · 24′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pellegrini · Roma · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGiuseppe Pezzella · Empoli · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLiam Henderson · Empoli · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPaulo Dybala · Roma · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Le Fée · Roma · 72′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEnzo Le Fée · Roma · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTommaso Baldanzi · Roma · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Ekong · Empoli · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPaulo Dybala · Roma · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Mancini · Roma · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPaulo Dybala · Roma · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Mancini · Roma · 67′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPaulo Dybala · Roma · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Paredes · Roma · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJacopo Fazzini · Empoli · 9′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJacopo Fazzini · Empoli · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNicola Zalewski · Roma · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMile Svilar · Roma · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pellegrini · Roma · 51′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatías Soulé · Roma · 67′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLiberato Cacace · Empoli · 76′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTommaso Baldanzi · Roma · 68′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPaulo Dybala · Roma · 69′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Colombo · Empoli · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedArtem Dovbyk · Roma · 4′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEldor Shomurodov · Roma · 80′ · 0.08 xG · goalSebastiano Esposito · Empoli · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJacopo Fazzini · Empoli · 20′ · 0.10 xG · on targetArtem Dovbyk · Roma · 82′ · 0.10 xG · on targetTommaso Baldanzi · Roma · 67′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Le Fée · Roma · 71′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pellegrini · Roma · 42′ · 0.15 xG · on targetEldor Shomurodov · Roma · 90′ · 0.18 xG · on targetMattia Viti · Empoli · 20′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedEldor Shomurodov · Roma · 82′ · 0.29 xG · on targetEmmanuel Gyasi · Empoli · 45′ · 0.40 xG · goalEmmanuel Gyasi · Empoli · 10′ · 0.43 xG · off target or blockedArtem Dovbyk · Roma · 85′ · 0.47 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Colombo · Empoli · 20′ · 0.70 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Colombo · Empoli · 61′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Roma: 27 shots, 7 on target, 2.19 xG. Empoli: 14 shots, 4 on target, 2.98 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Eldor Shomurodov · Roma · 80′Emmanuel Gyasi · Empoli · 45′Lorenzo Colombo · Empoli · 61′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Roma 2.19 xG · Empoli 2.98 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

4Roma
0Draws
1Empoli
EmpoliRoma · Serie A21
RomaEmpoli · Serie A70
RomaEmpoli · Serie A20
EmpoliRoma · Serie A12
EmpoliRoma · Serie A24

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Roma favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Empoli in 0 · 13 too close

Goals scoredseason · 2/2
Goals allowedseason · 2/2
Expected goalsseason · 2/2
Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2
Shotsseason · 2/2
Shots allowedseason · 2/2
Shots on targetseason · 2/2
Shots on target allowedseason · 2/2
Possessionseason · 2/2
Cornersseason · 2/2
Corners allowedseason · 2/2
Cardsseason · 0/0
Foulsseason · 2/2
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 2/2
Scoring frequencyseason · 2/2

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Roma
Empoli
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Roma
Empoli
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Roma
Empoli
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Roma
Empoli
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Roma
Empoli
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Roma
Empoli
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Roma
Empoli
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Roma2 matchesEmpoli2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Roma1 matchesEmpoli1 matches
Goals scored1/1
Goals allowed1/1
Expected goals1/1
Shots1/1
Shots on target1/1
Possession1/1
Corners1/1
Cards0/0
Fouls1/1

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Aug 2024, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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Roma vs Empoli — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath