Serie A · 2024Sun, 1 Sept 2024, 18:45 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
00Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricJuventusRoma
Shots8 shots/match7 shots/match
Shots on target1 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals0.5 xG/match0.33 xG/match
Possession50%50%
Corners6 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Alexis Saelemaekers · Roma · 13′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAngeliño · Roma · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatías Soulé · Roma · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEvan Ndicka · Roma · 11′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pellegrini · Roma · 13′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJuan Cabal · Juventus · 7′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBremer · Juventus · 72′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 48′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 70′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedArtem Dovbyk · Roma · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPaulo Dybala · Roma · 87′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 42′ · 0.14 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Juventus: 8 shots, 1 on target, 0.49 xG. Roma: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.33 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.250.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Juventus 0.49 xG · Roma 0.33 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Juventus show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.67 shots/matchShotsJuventus · Roma16.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricJuventusRomaBaseline
Shots9.67 shots/match16.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against5.67 shots/match11.7 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Juventus
2Draws
1Roma
RomaJuventus · Serie A11
JuventusRoma · Serie A10
RomaJuventus · Serie A10
JuventusRoma · Serie A11
RomaJuventus · Serie A34

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Juventus favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Roma in 0 · 13 too close

2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/30.33 goals/match
0 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/30.67 goals/match
0.98 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.15 xG/match
0.34 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.45 xG/match
9.67 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/316.3 shots/match
5.67 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/311.7 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/33.67 shots/match
0.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/32.33 shots/match
56%Possessionseason · 3/360%
3.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/35 corners/match
2.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/35.33 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/39.67 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
100%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/367%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/333%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Juventus67.5
Roma82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Juventus57.5
Roma47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Juventus97.5
Roma75.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Juventus7.5
Roma57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Juventus10
Roma2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Juventus22.5
Roma55
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Juventus28.8
Roma46.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Juventus3 matchesRoma3 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored3/30.33 goals/match
0 goals/matchGoals allowed3/30.67 goals/match
0.98 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.15 xG/match
9.67 shots/matchShots3/316.3 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target3/33.67 shots/match
56%Possession3/360%
3.33 corners/matchCorners3/35 corners/match
Cards0/0
10 fouls/matchFouls3/39.67 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Juventus2 matchesRoma2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Sept 2024, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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