Serie A · 2024Sun, 1 Sept 2024, 18:45 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Udinese

1–0Full-time recap

Como

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Udinese	Como
Shots	10 shots/match	21 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	4 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.98 xG/match	1.68 xG/match▲
Possession	44%	56%●
Corners	4 corners/match	6 corners/match●
Fouls	16 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Udinese: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.98 xG. Como: 21 shots, 4 on target, 1.72 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Udinese 0.98 xG · Como 1.72 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Como's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Como have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Como show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Como's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

7.33 shots/match▲ShotsUdinese · Como12.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Udinese	Como	Baseline
Shots	7.33 shots/match	12.7 shots/match	12.5 shots/match
Shots against	20 shots/match	11.3 shots/match	11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Como have recorded the higher season possession share.

35%PossessionUdinese · Como●50.3%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.3 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Udinese	Como	Baseline
Possession	35%	50.3%	51.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Udinese favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Como in 0 · 13 too close

1.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/30.33 goals/match

0.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31.67 goals/match

0.94 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.13 xG/match

2.08 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31 xG/match

7.33 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/312.7 shots/match

20 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/311.3 shots/match

2.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/32.67 shots/match

5.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/35 shots/match

35%Possessionseason · 3/3●50.3%

4.33 corners/match●Cornersseason · 3/34 corners/match

9.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/34 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

16 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/310.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/30%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/333%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Udinese7.5

Como42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Udinese25.8

Como26.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Udinese37.5

Como35.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Udinese12.5

Como42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Udinese87.5

Como20

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Udinese45

Como37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Udinese38.8

Como31.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Udinese3 matchesComo3 matches

1.33 goals/match▲Goals scored3/30.33 goals/match

0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/31.67 goals/match

0.94 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲1.13 xG/match

7.33 shots/matchShots3/3▲12.7 shots/match

2.67 shots/matchShots on target3/32.67 shots/match

35%Possession3/3●50.3%

4.33 corners/match●Corners3/34 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

16 fouls/matchFouls3/310.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Udinese2 matchesComo3 matches

—Goals scored2/30.33 goals/match

—Goals allowed2/31.67 goals/match

—Expected goals2/31.13 xG/match

—Shots2/312.7 shots/match

—Shots on target2/32.67 shots/match

—Possession2/350.3%

—Corners2/34 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/310.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.09 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.09 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Sept 2024, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4