Serie A · 2024Sun, 25 Aug 2024, 16:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
21Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricTorinoAtalanta
Shots13 shots/match25 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match9 shots/match
Expected goals2.38 xG/match3.14 xG/match
Possession42%58%
Corners4 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Samuele Ricci · Torino · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBerat Djimsiti · Atalanta · 59′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 59′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDuván Zapata · Torino · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 84′ · 0.04 xG · on targetChe Adams · Torino · 63′ · 0.05 xG · on targetValentino Lazaro · Torino · 54′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedValentino Lazaro · Torino · 63′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Manzoni · Atalanta · 86′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 26′ · 0.07 xG · goalDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 41′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIvan Ilić · Torino · 79′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Atalanta · 79′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDuván Zapata · Torino · 63′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 41′ · 0.10 xG · on targetÉderson · Atalanta · 59′ · 0.10 xG · on targetCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 65′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Atalanta · 76′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 20′ · 0.12 xG · on targetCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 46′ · 0.12 xG · on targetBerat Djimsiti · Atalanta · 48′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedValentino Lazaro · Torino · 4′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedDuván Zapata · Torino · 90′ · 0.20 xG · on targetÉderson · Atalanta · 12′ · 0.22 xG · on targetDuván Zapata · Torino · 49′ · 0.23 xG · on targetDuván Zapata · Torino · 45′ · 0.27 xG · on targetMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 59′ · 0.31 xG · on targetMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 59′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedIvan Ilić · Torino · 31′ · 0.49 xG · goalChe Adams · Torino · 50′ · 0.81 xG · goalMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Torino: 13 shots, 7 on target, 2.56 xG. Atalanta: 25 shots, 9 on target, 3.31 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Ivan Ilić · Torino · 31′Che Adams · Torino · 50′Mateo Retegui · Atalanta · 26′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Torino 2.56 xG · Atalanta 3.31 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Torino
1Draws
3Atalanta
AtalantaTorino · Serie A30
TorinoAtalanta · Serie A30
TorinoAtalanta · Serie A12
AtalantaTorino · Serie A31
AtalantaTorino · Serie A44

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Torino favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Atalanta in 0 · 13 too close

Goals scoredseason · 2/2
Goals allowedseason · 2/2
Expected goalsseason · 2/2
Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2
Shotsseason · 2/2
Shots allowedseason · 2/2
Shots on targetseason · 2/2
Shots on target allowedseason · 2/2
Possessionseason · 2/2
Cornersseason · 2/2
Corners allowedseason · 2/2
Cardsseason · 0/0
Foulsseason · 2/2
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 2/2
Scoring frequencyseason · 2/2

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Torino
Atalanta
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Torino
Atalanta
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Torino
Atalanta
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Torino
Atalanta
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Torino
Atalanta
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Torino
Atalanta
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Torino
Atalanta
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Torino2 matchesAtalanta2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Torino1 matchesAtalanta2 matches
Goals scored1/2
Goals allowed1/2
Expected goals1/2
Shots1/2
Shots on target1/2
Possession1/2
Corners1/2
Cards0/0
Fouls1/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.91 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Aug 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Torino vs Atalanta — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath