Serie A · 2024Sat, 31 Aug 2024, 16:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Bologna

1–1Full-time recap

Empoli

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Bologna	Empoli
Shots	14 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	1.36 xG/match▲	0.97 xG/match
Possession	68%●	32%
Corners	6 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	18 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Bologna: 14 shots, 3 on target, 1.42 xG. Empoli: 3 shots, 2 on target, 0.94 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bologna 1.42 xG · Empoli 0.94 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Empoli's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Bologna have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Empoli show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Empoli's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.7 shots/match▲ShotsBologna · Empoli9.33 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Bologna	Empoli	Baseline
Shots	14.7 shots/match	9.33 shots/match	14.2 shots/match
Shots against	7.67 shots/match	15.7 shots/match	13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Bologna have recorded the higher season possession share.

67.7%●PossessionBologna · Empoli32.3%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 35.3 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Bologna	Empoli	Baseline
Possession	67.7%	32.3%	51.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

16.3 fouls/matchFoulsBologna · Empoli15 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Bologna	Empoli	Baseline
Fouls	16.3 fouls/match	15 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Bologna

1Draws

2Empoli

15 Mar 2024Empoli — Bologna · Serie A0–1

1 Oct 2023Bologna — Empoli · Serie A3–0

4 May 2023Empoli — Bologna · Serie A3–1

17 Sept 2022Bologna — Empoli · Serie A0–1

6 Feb 2022Bologna — Empoli · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Bologna favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Empoli in 0 · 13 too close

0.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/31 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/30.67 goals/match

1.75 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.44 xG/match

1.47 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.3 xG/match

14.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/39.33 shots/match

7.67 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/315.7 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/32.67 shots/match

3 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/33.67 shots/match

67.7%●Possessionseason · 3/332.3%

6.67 corners/match●Cornersseason · 3/35 corners/match

5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/35.67 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

16.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/315 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/333%

67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bologna95.8

Empoli4.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bologna38.9

Empoli15.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bologna69.4

Empoli58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bologna12.5

Empoli45.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bologna87.5

Empoli79.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bologna75

Empoli37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bologna62.5

Empoli31.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Bologna3 matchesEmpoli3 matches

0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲1 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲0.67 goals/match

1.75 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.44 xG/match

14.7 shots/match▲Shots3/39.33 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target3/32.67 shots/match

67.7%●Possession3/332.3%

6.67 corners/match●Corners3/35 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

16.3 fouls/matchFouls3/315 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Bologna2 matchesEmpoli2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.91 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.91 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Aug 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4