Serie A · 2024

Lecce 1–0 Hellas Verona · Serie A

Lecce

DLLLL
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lecce won 1–0.

Shots
147
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
1.680.3
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lecce beat Hellas Verona 1–0. Recorded in this match (Lecce – Hellas Verona): shots 14–7, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 1.68–0.3, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lecce's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lecce's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.4 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.4 goals/match1.32 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Lecce, Hellas Verona.

3.19 days ▲Rest daysLecce · Hellas Verona2.95 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLecceHellas VeronaBaseline
Rest days3.19 days2.95 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Hellas Verona have a visible away split

moderate

Hellas Verona's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

6.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season9.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots6.8 shots/match9.4 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots7 shotsLecce 14 shots, Hellas Verona 7 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotLecce 6 shots, Hellas Verona 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.68 xG0.3 xGLecce 1.68 xG, Hellas Verona 0.3 xG
  • Possession58%42%Lecce 58%, Hellas Verona 42%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersLecce 3 corners, Hellas Verona 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls21 foulsLecce 14 fouls, Hellas Verona 21 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 77′ · 0.01 xG · on targetPatrick Dorgu · Lecce · 81′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTete Morente · Lecce · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetNikola Krstović · Lecce · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOndrej Duda · Hellas Verona · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYlber Ramadani · Lecce · 88′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLameck Banda · Lecce · 71′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSuat Serdar · Hellas Verona · 12′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBalthazar Pierret · Lecce · 64′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Mosquera · Hellas Verona · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOndrej Duda · Hellas Verona · 14′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 60′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 81′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedHamza Rafia · Lecce · 20′ · 0.10 xG · on targetHamza Rafia · Lecce · 35′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 42′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedKialonda Gaspar · Lecce · 15′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedTete Morente · Lecce · 90′ · 0.43 xG · on targetPatrick Dorgu · Lecce · 51′ · 0.46 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lecce: 14 shots, 6 on target, 1.71 xG. Hellas Verona: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.30 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Patrick Dorgu · Lecce · 51′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lecce 1.71 xG · Hellas Verona 0.30 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Lecce
1Draws
3Hellas Verona
Lecce — Hellas Verona · Serie A0–1
Hellas Verona — Lecce · Serie A2–2
Lecce — Hellas Verona · Serie A0–1
Hellas Verona — Lecce · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lecce favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Hellas Verona in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lecce10 matchesHellas Verona10 matches
0.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.3 goals/match
1.9 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/102.2 goals/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.03 xG/match
13.7 shots/match ▲Shots10/109.4 shots/match
4.1 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/102.5 shots/match
42.5% ●Possession10/1040%
4.3 corners/matchCorners10/10● 4.6 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 29 Oct 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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