PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Atalanta 6–1 Hellas Verona · Serie A

6–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atalanta won 6–1.

Shots
194
Shots on target
102
Expected goals
2.440.28
Possession
69%31%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atalanta beat Hellas Verona 6–1. Recorded in this match (Atalanta – Hellas Verona): shots 19–4, shots on target 10–2, expected goals 2.44–0.28, possession 69%–31%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Hellas Verona have a visible away split

weak

Hellas Verona's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

6.75 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season9.67 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots6.75 shots/match9.67 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Hellas Verona show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Hellas Verona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAtalanta · Hellas Verona9.67 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaHellas VeronaBaseline
Shots16.6 shots/match9.67 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match14.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Atalanta's recent record differs from the season

weak

Atalanta's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.2 goals/match2.67 goals/match1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots4 shotsAtalanta 19 shots, Hellas Verona 4 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots2 shotsAtalanta 10 shots, Hellas Verona 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.44 xG0.28 xGAtalanta 2.44 xG, Hellas Verona 0.28 xG
  • Possession69%31%Atalanta 69%, Hellas Verona 31%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersAtalanta 4 corners, Hellas Verona 2 corners
  • Fouls3 fouls15 foulsAtalanta 3 fouls, Hellas Verona 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Sead Kolašinac · Atalanta · 2′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 14′ · 0.02 xG · goalÉderson · Atalanta · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 25′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDani Silva · Hellas Verona · 84′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÉderson · Atalanta · 41′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 29′ · 0.05 xG · goalAmin Sarr · Hellas Verona · 42′ · 0.05 xG · goalAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDailon Rocha Livramento · Hellas Verona · 47′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 79′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 12′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAmin Sarr · Hellas Verona · 74′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 9′ · 0.11 xG · goalMarten de Roon · Atalanta · 6′ · 0.14 xG · goalMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 11′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 34′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 14′ · 0.39 xG · on targetAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 34′ · 0.45 xG · goalMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 58′ · 0.66 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atalanta: 19 shots, 10 on target, 2.49 xG. Hellas Verona: 4 shots, 2 on target, 0.22 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Marten de Roon · Atalanta · 6′Mateo Retegui · Atalanta · 9′Charles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 14′Ademola Lookman · Atalanta · 29′Ademola Lookman · Atalanta · 34′Mateo Retegui · Atalanta · 58′Amin Sarr · Hellas Verona · 42′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atalanta 2.49 xG · Hellas Verona 0.22 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Atalanta
1Draws
1Hellas Verona
Atalanta — Hellas Verona · Serie A2–2
Hellas Verona — Atalanta · Serie A0–1
Atalanta — Hellas Verona · Serie A3–1
Hellas Verona — Atalanta · Serie A0–1
Atalanta — Hellas Verona · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atalanta favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Hellas Verona in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atalanta9 matchesHellas Verona9 matches
2.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/91.44 goals/match
1.56 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/92.33 goals/match
2.11 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/91.11 xG/match
16.6 shots/match ▲Shots9/99.67 shots/match
6.44 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/92.67 shots/match
57.8% ●Possession9/939.8%
5.11 corners/match ●Corners9/94.67 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls9/912.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 26 Oct 2024, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtalantaHellas Verona
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headAtalanta — Hellas Verona
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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