PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Napoli 1–0 Lecce · Serie A

Napoli

WDWWW
1–0Historical match

Lecce

DDLLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Napoli won 1–0.

Shots
2411
Shots on target
82
Expected goals
2.690.61
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Napoli beat Lecce 1–0. Recorded in this match (Napoli – Lecce): shots 24–11, shots on target 8–2, expected goals 2.69–0.61, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Napoli's recent record differs from the season

weak

Napoli's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.78 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.78 goals/match1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Napoli have a visible home split

moderate

Napoli's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.8 shots/match14.8 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Napoli show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Napoli's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsNapoli · Lecce13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNapoliLecceBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match13.7 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against10.7 shots/match15.9 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots24 shots11 shotsNapoli 24 shots, Lecce 11 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots2 shotsNapoli 8 shots, Lecce 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.69 xG0.61 xGNapoli 2.69 xG, Lecce 0.61 xG
  • Possession65%35%Napoli 65%, Lecce 35%
  • Corners16 corners5 cornersNapoli 16 corners, Lecce 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls7 foulsNapoli 13 fouls, Lecce 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Cyril Ngonge · Napoli · 6′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Dorgu · Lecce · 16′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLameck Banda · Lecce · 41′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDavid Neres · Napoli · 48′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Dorgu · Lecce · 89′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBilly Gilmour · Napoli · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFrank Anguissa · Napoli · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Pierotti · Lecce · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCyril Ngonge · Napoli · 42′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLameck Banda · Lecce · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAmir Rrahmani · Napoli · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 79′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCyril Ngonge · Napoli · 14′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLameck Banda · Lecce · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Di Lorenzo · Napoli · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Napoli · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAmir Rrahmani · Napoli · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFederico Baschirotto · Lecce · 34′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRémi Oudin · Lecce · 88′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAmir Rrahmani · Napoli · 30′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCyril Ngonge · Napoli · 37′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Napoli · 73′ · 0.08 xG · on targetNikola Krstović · Lecce · 80′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDavid Neres · Napoli · 24′ · 0.09 xG · on targetScott McTominay · Napoli · 28′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Napoli · 32′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedGiacomo Raspadori · Napoli · 76′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAmir Rrahmani · Napoli · 7′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMathías Olivera · Napoli · 26′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedRomelu Lukaku · Napoli · 37′ · 0.14 xG · on targetCyril Ngonge · Napoli · 26′ · 0.20 xG · on targetGiovanni Di Lorenzo · Napoli · 73′ · 0.30 xG · on targetRomelu Lukaku · Napoli · 55′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedKialonda Gaspar · Lecce · 34′ · 0.34 xG · on targetGiovanni Di Lorenzo · Napoli · 73′ · 0.85 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Napoli: 24 shots, 8 on target, 3.03 xG. Lecce: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.71 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Giovanni Di Lorenzo · Napoli · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Napoli 3.03 xG · Lecce 0.71 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Napoli
2Draws
0Lecce
Napoli — Lecce · Serie A0–0
Lecce — Napoli · Serie A0–4
Lecce — Napoli · Serie A1–2
Napoli — Lecce · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Napoli favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Lecce in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Napoli9 matchesLecce9 matches
1.78 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/90.33 goals/match
0.56 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/92.11 goals/match
1.67 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/90.94 xG/match
14.8 shots/match ▲Shots9/913.7 shots/match
4.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/93.89 shots/match
49.7% ●Possession9/940.8%
5.89 corners/match ●Corners9/94.44 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls9/910.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 26 Oct 2024, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNapoliLecce
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headNapoli — Lecce
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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