Serie A · 2024

Milan 0–2 Napoli · Serie A

Milan

WWWLW
0–2Historical match

Napoli

DWWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Napoli won 0–2.

Shots
139
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
0.691.13
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Napoli beat Milan 2–0. Recorded in this match (Milan – Napoli): shots 13–9, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 0.69–1.13, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Napoli.

10.2 days ▲Rest daysMilan · Napoli3.28 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricMilanNapoliBaseline
Rest days10.2 days3.28 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Napoli have a visible away split

moderate

Napoli's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match14.2 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Milan's recent record differs from the season

weak

Milan's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.78 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.78 goals/match1.32 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots9 shotsMilan 13 shots, Napoli 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsMilan 5 shots, Napoli 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.69 xG1.13 xGMilan 0.69 xG, Napoli 1.13 xG
  • Possession61%39%Milan 61%, Napoli 39%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerMilan 5 corners, Napoli 1 corner
  • Fouls14 fouls6 foulsMilan 14 fouls, Napoli 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Samuel Chukwueze · Milan · 20′ · 0.01 xG · on targetEmerson Royal · Milan · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYoussouf Fofana · Milan · 37′ · 0.02 xG · on targetScott McTominay · Napoli · 38′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 43′ · 0.03 xG · goalYunus Musah · Milan · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYoussouf Fofana · Milan · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChristian Pulišić · Milan · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetYunus Musah · Milan · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Politano · Napoli · 36′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRafael Leão · Milan · 83′ · 0.05 xG · on targetNoah Okafor · Milan · 27′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRomelu Lukaku · Napoli · 56′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFrank Anguissa · Napoli · 80′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFilippo Terracciano · Milan · 12′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Morata · Milan · 66′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRuben Loftus-Cheek · Milan · 33′ · 0.10 xG · on targetScott McTominay · Napoli · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetScott McTominay · Napoli · 60′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedChristian Pulišić · Milan · 85′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 3′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedRomelu Lukaku · Napoli · 5′ · 0.41 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Milan: 13 shots, 5 on target, 0.72 xG. Napoli: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.14 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Romelu Lukaku · Napoli · 5′Khvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 43′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Milan 0.72 xG · Napoli 1.14 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Milan
2Draws
0Napoli
Milan — Napoli · Serie A1–0
Napoli — Milan · Serie A2–2
Napoli — Milan · UEFA Champions League1–1
Milan — Napoli · UEFA Champions League1–0
Napoli — Milan · Serie A0–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Milan favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Napoli in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Milan9 matchesNapoli10 matches
1.78 goals/matchGoals scored9/101.8 goals/match
1.22 goals/matchGoals allowed9/10▲ 0.5 goals/match
1.72 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/101.62 xG/match
15 shots/match ▲Shots9/1014.2 shots/match
6.11 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/104.3 shots/match
55.9% ●Possession9/1048.6%
6.33 corners/match ●Corners9/105.4 corners/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls9/1011.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 29 Oct 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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