Serie A · 2024

Cagliari 0–2 Bologna · Serie A

0–2Historical match

Bologna

DWDDD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bologna won 0–2.

Shots
1411
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
0.810.7
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bologna beat Cagliari 2–0. Recorded in this match (Cagliari – Bologna): shots 14–11, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 0.81–0.7, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cagliari's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cagliari's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.8 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.8 goals/match1.32 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.3 corners/match ●CornersCagliari · Bologna5.44 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricCagliariBolognaBaseline
Corners6.3 corners/match5.44 corners/match4.58 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Bologna have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.4%PossessionCagliari · Bologna● 60.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCagliariBolognaBaseline
Possession45.4%60.4%48.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots11 shotsCagliari 14 shots, Bologna 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsCagliari 2 shots, Bologna 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.81 xG0.7 xGCagliari 0.81 xG, Bologna 0.7 xG
  • Possession42%58%Cagliari 42%, Bologna 58%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersCagliari 7 corners, Bologna 2 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls18 foulsCagliari 17 fouls, Bologna 18 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nikola Moro · Bologna · 15′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Viola · Cagliari · 43′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRăzvan Marin · Cagliari · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Gaetano · Cagliari · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 39′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJens Odgaard · Bologna · 51′ · 0.02 xG · goalAdam Obert · Cagliari · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJhon Lucumí · Bologna · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNadir Zortea · Cagliari · 1′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJuan Miranda · Bologna · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 35′ · 0.05 xG · goalRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 48′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAdam Obert · Cagliari · 57′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Gaetano · Cagliari · 58′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Gaetano · Cagliari · 58′ · 0.07 xG · on targetSam Beukema · Bologna · 76′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Lapadula · Cagliari · 79′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Lapadula · Cagliari · 79′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 58′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Gaetano · Cagliari · 4′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 17′ · 0.14 xG · on targetDan Ndoye · Bologna · 49′ · 0.14 xG · on targetRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 31′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cagliari: 14 shots, 2 on target, 0.81 xG. Bologna: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.90 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Riccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 35′Jens Odgaard · Bologna · 51′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cagliari 0.81 xG · Bologna 0.90 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Cagliari
0Draws
2Bologna
Cagliari — Bologna · Serie A2–1
Bologna — Cagliari · Serie A2–1
Cagliari — Bologna · Serie A2–1
Bologna — Cagliari · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cagliari favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Bologna in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cagliari10 matchesBologna9 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/9▲ 1.22 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/9▲ 1.22 goals/match
1.34 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/91.05 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots10/913.3 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target10/9▲ 4.33 shots/match
45.4%Possession10/9● 60.4%
6.3 corners/match ●Corners10/95.44 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls10/915.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 29 Oct 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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