PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Udinese 2–0 Cagliari · Serie A

Udinese

WLLWL
2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Udinese won 2–0.

Shots
133
Shots on target
40
Expected goals
1.030.43
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Udinese beat Cagliari 2–0. Recorded in this match (Udinese – Cagliari): shots 13–3, shots on target 4–0, expected goals 1.03–0.43, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cagliari's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cagliari's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.89 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.89 goals/match1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cagliari have a visible away split

weak

Cagliari's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match14 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14.4 fouls/matchFoulsUdinese · Cagliari13.4 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricUdineseCagliariBaseline
Fouls14.4 fouls/match13.4 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots3 shotsUdinese 13 shots, Cagliari 3 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots0 shotsUdinese 4 shots, Cagliari 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.03 xG0.43 xGUdinese 1.03 xG, Cagliari 0.43 xG
  • Possession64%36%Udinese 64%, Cagliari 36%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersUdinese 2 corners, Cagliari 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls9 foulsUdinese 14 fouls, Cagliari 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Sandi Lovrić · Udinese · 28′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 39′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKeinan Davis · Udinese · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristian Kabasele · Udinese · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJesper Karlström · Udinese · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMartín Payero · Udinese · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Ehizibue · Udinese · 37′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSandi Lovrić · Udinese · 6′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSandi Lovrić · Udinese · 23′ · 0.06 xG · on targetIker Bravo · Udinese · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMartín Payero · Udinese · 6′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSandi Lovrić · Udinese · 64′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKeinan Davis · Udinese · 78′ · 0.20 xG · goalAlessandro Deiola · Cagliari · 90′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedYerry Mina · Cagliari · 56′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 38′ · 0.34 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Udinese: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.01 xG. Cagliari: 3 shots, 0 on target, 0.44 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Lorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 38′Keinan Davis · Udinese · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Udinese 1.01 xG · Cagliari 0.44 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Udinese
2Draws
0Cagliari
Udinese — Cagliari · Serie A1–1
Cagliari — Udinese · Serie A0–0
Udinese — Cagliari · Serie A5–1
Cagliari — Udinese · Serie A0–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Udinese favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Cagliari in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Udinese9 matchesCagliari9 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/90.89 goals/match
1.22 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/91.67 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲ 1.4 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots9/9▲ 14 shots/match
3.11 shots/matchShots on target9/93.11 shots/match
45.8%Possession9/945.8%
4.22 corners/matchCorners9/9● 6.22 corners/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls9/913.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 25 Oct 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUdineseCagliari
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headUdinese — Cagliari
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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