Serie A · 2024

Monza 0–1 Milan · Serie A

Monza

LDWDL
0–1Historical match

Milan

WWLWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Milan won 0–1.

Shots
1218
Shots on target
27
Expected goals
1.182.54
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Milan beat Monza 1–0. Recorded in this match (Monza – Milan): shots 12–18, shots on target 2–7, expected goals 1.18–2.54, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Monza show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Monza's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

7 shots/match ▲ShotsMonza · Milan15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMonzaMilanBaseline
Shots7 shots/match15.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against13.9 shots/match10.4 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Monza's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Monza's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.91 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.91 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Monza, Milan.

3 days ▲Rest daysMonza · Milan4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricMonzaMilanBaseline
Rest days3 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots18 shotsMonza 12 shots, Milan 18 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots7 shotsMonza 2 shots, Milan 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.18 xG2.54 xGMonza 1.18 xG, Milan 2.54 xG
  • Possession44%56%Monza 44%, Milan 56%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersMonza 3 corners, Milan 5 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls15 foulsMonza 18 fouls, Milan 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Dany Mota · Monza · 26′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYoussouf Fofana · Milan · 62′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYoussouf Fofana · Milan · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTijjani Reijnders · Milan · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWarren Bondo · Monza · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGeorgios Kyriakopoulos · Monza · 13′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedStrahinja Pavlović · Milan · 87′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSamuel Chukwueze · Milan · 3′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDaniel Maldini · Monza · 25′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSamuele Vignato · Monza · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Maldini · Monza · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Morata · Milan · 27′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTijjani Reijnders · Milan · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Maldini · Monza · 49′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDany Mota · Monza · 55′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTheo Hernández · Milan · 67′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSamuel Chukwueze · Milan · 61′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Morata · Milan · 59′ · 0.09 xG · on targetNoah Okafor · Milan · 20′ · 0.10 xG · on targetNoah Okafor · Milan · 22′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPedro Pereira · Monza · 28′ · 0.11 xG · on targetÁlvaro Morata · Milan · 43′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRafael Leão · Milan · 64′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedRafael Leão · Milan · 90′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Maldini · Monza · 13′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedMirko Marić · Monza · 81′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Morata · Milan · 84′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Maldini · Monza · 15′ · 0.45 xG · off target or blockedRafael Leão · Milan · 85′ · 0.61 xG · on targetTijjani Reijnders · Milan · 43′ · 0.68 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Monza: 12 shots, 2 on target, 1.20 xG. Milan: 18 shots, 7 on target, 2.54 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Tijjani Reijnders · Milan · 43′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Monza 1.20 xG · Milan 2.54 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Monza
0Draws
3Milan
Monza — Milan · Serie A4–2
Milan — Monza · Serie A3–0
Monza — Milan · Serie A0–1
Milan — Monza · Serie A4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Monza favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Milan in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Monza11 matchesMilan10 matches
0.91 goals/matchGoals scored11/10▲ 1.7 goals/match
1.27 goals/matchGoals allowed11/10▲ 1.1 goals/match
0.65 xG/matchExpected goals11/10▲ 1.81 xG/match
7 shots/matchShots11/10▲ 15.3 shots/match
2.36 shots/matchShots on target11/10▲ 6.2 shots/match
46.2%Possession11/10● 55.9%
2.91 corners/matchCorners11/10● 6.2 corners/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls11/1010.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Nov 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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