UEFA Champions League · 2024

Real Madrid 1–3 Milan · UEFA Champions League

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Milan won 1–3.

Shots
2314
Shots on target
109
Expected goals
2.662.45
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Milan beat Real Madrid 3–1. Recorded in this match (Real Madrid – Milan): shots 23–14, shots on target 10–9, expected goals 2.66–2.45, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

20.3 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Madrid · Milan13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridMilanBaseline
Shots20.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against9.67 shots/match17.8 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots14 shotsReal Madrid 23 shots, Milan 14 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots9 shotsReal Madrid 10 shots, Milan 9 shots
  • Expected goals2.66 xG2.45 xGReal Madrid 2.66 xG, Milan 2.45 xG
  • Possession57%43%Real Madrid 57%, Milan 43%
  • Corners8 corners5 cornersReal Madrid 8 corners, Milan 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls9 foulsReal Madrid 11 fouls, Milan 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Aurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid · 37′ · 0.01 xG · on targetVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 47′ · 0.01 xG · on targetBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 85′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTijjani Reijnders · Milan · 31′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 79′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 3′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTheo Hernández · Milan · 5′ · 0.03 xG · on targetChristian Pulišić · Milan · 18′ · 0.03 xG · on targetChristian Pulišić · Milan · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuka Modrić · Real Madrid · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÉder Militão · Real Madrid · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 76′ · 0.03 xG · on targetVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 13′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTheo Hernández · Milan · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTheo Hernández · Milan · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRafael Leão · Milan · 52′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLuka Modrić · Real Madrid · 7′ · 0.05 xG · on targetÉder Militão · Real Madrid · 77′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 13′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRafael Leão · Milan · 39′ · 0.08 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRafael Leão · Milan · 56′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 57′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 62′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedÉder Militão · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 63′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 89′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedMalick Thiaw · Milan · 12′ · 0.22 xG · goalKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 43′ · 0.22 xG · on targetMalick Thiaw · Milan · 31′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedRuben Loftus-Cheek · Milan · 88′ · 0.23 xG · on targetBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.38 xG · on targetTijjani Reijnders · Milan · 73′ · 0.61 xG · goalÁlvaro Morata · Milan · 39′ · 0.74 xG · goalVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 23′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Madrid: 23 shots, 10 on target, 2.67 xG. Milan: 14 shots, 9 on target, 2.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Vinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 23′Malick Thiaw · Milan · 12′Álvaro Morata · Milan · 39′Tijjani Reijnders · Milan · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Madrid 2.67 xG · Milan 2.46 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Madrid favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Milan in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Madrid4 matchesMilan4 matches
2.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/41.75 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 1.5 goals/match
2.8 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/41.32 xG/match
20.3 shots/match ▲Shots3/413.3 shots/match
8.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/45.25 shots/match
55.7% ●Possession3/451%
7.33 corners/match ●Corners3/44 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls3/47.25 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 6 Nov 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

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