Serie A · 2024

Atalanta 2–0 Monza · Serie A

2–0Historical match

Monza

LLDWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atalanta won 2–0.

Shots
164
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.230.1
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atalanta beat Monza 2–0. Recorded in this match (Atalanta – Monza): shots 16–4, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.23–0.1, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Monza show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Monza's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAtalanta · Monza6.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaMonzaBaseline
Shots16.5 shots/match6.5 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against10.6 shots/match13.5 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Monza.

4.04 days ▲Rest daysAtalanta · Monza3.24 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAtalantaMonzaBaseline
Rest days4.04 days3.24 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Atalanta's recent record differs from the season

weak

Atalanta's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.6 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.2 goals/match2.6 goals/match1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots4 shotsAtalanta 16 shots, Monza 4 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsAtalanta 6 shots, Monza 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.23 xG0.1 xGAtalanta 1.23 xG, Monza 0.1 xG
  • Possession54%46%Atalanta 54%, Monza 46%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerAtalanta 5 corners, Monza 1 corner
  • Fouls14 fouls11 foulsAtalanta 14 fouls, Monza 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alessandro Bianco · Monza · 42′ · 0.01 xG · on targetCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBerat Djimsiti · Atalanta · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarten de Roon · Atalanta · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMilan Đurić · Monza · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 88′ · 0.02 xG · goalMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 5′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRaoul Bellanova · Atalanta · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPedro Pereira · Monza · 47′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGeorgios Kyriakopoulos · Monza · 84′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJuan Cuadrado · Atalanta · 74′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 70′ · 0.06 xG · goalLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 78′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOdilon Kossounou · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 87′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 85′ · 0.29 xG · on targetSead Kolašinac · Atalanta · 76′ · 0.34 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atalanta: 16 shots, 6 on target, 1.24 xG. Monza: 4 shots, 3 on target, 0.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Lazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 70′Davide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atalanta 1.24 xG · Monza 0.10 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Atalanta
0Draws
0Monza
Monza — Atalanta · Serie A1–2
Atalanta — Monza · Serie A3–0
Atalanta — Monza · Serie A5–2
Monza — Atalanta · Serie A0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atalanta favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Monza in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atalanta10 matchesMonza10 matches
2.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/101 goal/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 1.3 goals/match
2.02 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/100.59 xG/match
16.5 shots/match ▲Shots10/106.5 shots/match
6.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/102.4 shots/match
57.4% ●Possession10/1046.4%
5.1 corners/match ●Corners10/102.9 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 30 Oct 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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