Serie A · 2024Wed, 30 Oct 2024, 19:45 UTCFull timeHistorical match

Atalanta

LDWWW

2–0Historical match

Monza

LLDWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Atalanta	Monza
Shots	16 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.23 xG/match▲	0.1 xG/match
Possession	54%●	46%
Corners	5 corners/match●	1 corners/match
Fouls	14 fouls/match	11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Atalanta: 16 shots, 6 on target, 1.24 xG. Monza: 4 shots, 3 on target, 0.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atalanta 1.24 xG · Monza 0.10 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Monza's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Monza. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Monza show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Monza's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.5 shots/match▲ShotsAtalanta · Monza6.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Atalanta	Monza	Baseline
Shots	16.5 shots/match	6.5 shots/match	13.7 shots/match
Shots against	10.6 shots/match	13.5 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Monza.

4.04 days▲Rest daysAtalanta · Monza3.24 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Atalanta	Monza	Baseline
Rest days	4.04 days	3.24 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Atalanta's recent record differs from the season

weak

Atalanta's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.6 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	3.2 goals/match	2.6 goals/match	1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

4Atalanta

0Draws

0Monza

21 Apr 2024Monza — Atalanta · Serie A1–2

2 Sept 2023Atalanta — Monza · Serie A3–0

4 Jun 2023Atalanta — Monza · Serie A5–2

5 Sept 2022Monza — Atalanta · Serie A0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Atalanta favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Monza in 2 · 3 too close

2.6 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 10/101 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 10/10▲1.3 goals/match

2.02 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 10/100.59 xG/match

1.03 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 10/101.05 xG/match

16.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 10/106.5 shots/match

10.6 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 10/1013.5 shots/match

6.4 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 10/102.4 shots/match

3.9 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 10/10▲3.7 shots/match

57.4%●Possessionseason · 10/1046.4%

5.1 corners/match●Cornersseason · 10/102.9 corners/match

2.5 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 10/104.8 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1014.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

30%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/1020%

90%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 10/1060%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Atalanta77.5

Monza42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Atalanta97.5

Monza11.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Atalanta59.2

Monza58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Atalanta72.5

Monza2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Atalanta67.5

Monza85

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Atalanta57.5

Monza5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Atalanta80

Monza24.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Atalanta10 matchesMonza10 matches

2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.3 goals/match

2.02 xG/match▲Expected goals10/100.59 xG/match

16.5 shots/match▲Shots10/106.5 shots/match

6.4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.4 shots/match

57.4%●Possession10/1046.4%

5.1 corners/match●Corners10/102.9 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Atalanta5 matchesMonza5 matches

3.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match

2.11 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.49 xG/match

15.8 shots/match▲Shots5/55.8 shots/match

7.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.4 shots/match

59.2%●Possession5/546.4%

4.8 corners/match●Corners5/52.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/514.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.24 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples10 / 10home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 30 Oct 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4