PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Monza 1–2 Juventus · Serie A

Monza

LDDLL
1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Juventus won 1–2.

Shots
1716
Shots on target
59
Expected goals
1.341.81
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Juventus beat Monza 2–1. Recorded in this match (Monza – Juventus): shots 17–16, shots on target 5–9, expected goals 1.34–1.81, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Monza's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Monza's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season9.41 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots14.2 shots/match9.41 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Monza show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Monza's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.41 shots/match ▲ShotsMonza · Juventus12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMonzaJuventusBaseline
Shots9.41 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against13.7 shots/match8.82 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Monza have a visible home split

moderate

Monza's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.41 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match9.41 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots16 shotsMonza 17 shots, Juventus 16 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots9 shotsMonza 5 shots, Juventus 9 shots
  • Expected goals1.34 xG1.81 xGMonza 1.34 xG, Juventus 1.81 xG
  • Possession45%55%Monza 45%, Juventus 55%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersMonza 3 corners, Juventus 7 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls13 foulsMonza 7 fouls, Juventus 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Warren Bondo · Monza · 47′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 53′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Juventus · 54′ · 0.01 xG · on targetSamuele Birindelli · Monza · 1′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGianluca Caprari · Monza · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 48′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNicolás González · Juventus · 55′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGeorgios Kyriakopoulos · Monza · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Ciurria · Monza · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDany Mota · Monza · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Caprari · Monza · 50′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 75′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKhéphren Thuram · Juventus · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWarren Bondo · Monza · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Bianco · Monza · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Caprari · Monza · 10′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFederico Gatti · Juventus · 76′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Juventus · 6′ · 0.06 xG · on targetNicolás González · Juventus · 13′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDany Mota · Monza · 73′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Bianco · Monza · 48′ · 0.09 xG · on targetGianluca Caprari · Monza · 42′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDany Mota · Monza · 41′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedDanilo D'Ambrosio · Monza · 70′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Juventus · 54′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 66′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedSamuele Birindelli · Monza · 22′ · 0.24 xG · goalDany Mota · Monza · 42′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Juventus · 39′ · 0.33 xG · goalWeston McKennie · Juventus · 14′ · 0.66 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Monza: 17 shots, 5 on target, 1.34 xG. Juventus: 16 shots, 9 on target, 1.79 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Samuele Birindelli · Monza · 22′Weston McKennie · Juventus · 14′Nicolás González · Juventus · 39′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Monza 1.34 xG · Juventus 1.79 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Monza
0Draws
2Juventus
Juventus — Monza · Serie A2–0
Monza — Juventus · Serie A1–2
Juventus — Monza · Serie A0–2
Monza — Juventus · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Monza favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Juventus in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Monza17 matchesJuventus17 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.65 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 0.76 goals/match
0.8 xG/matchExpected goals17/17▲ 1.46 xG/match
9.41 shots/matchShots17/17▲ 12.9 shots/match
2.71 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲ 4.29 shots/match
48.1%Possession17/17● 60.8%
3.82 corners/matchCorners17/17● 5.24 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls17/1711.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Dec 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMonzaJuventus
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headMonza — Juventus
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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