Serie A · 2024

Juventus 2–2 Fiorentina · Serie A

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Juventus and Fiorentina drew 2–2.

Shots
1511
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.491
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Juventus and Fiorentina drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Juventus – Fiorentina): shots 15–11, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.49–1, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fiorentina's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fiorentina's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.82 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.82 goals/match1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fiorentina show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Fiorentina's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsJuventus · Fiorentina13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricJuventusFiorentinaBaseline
Shots13 shots/match13.1 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against8.94 shots/match11.4 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Juventus have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.9% ●PossessionJuventus · Fiorentina52.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricJuventusFiorentinaBaseline
Possession60.9%52.2%50.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots11 shotsJuventus 15 shots, Fiorentina 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsJuventus 5 shots, Fiorentina 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.49 xG1 xGJuventus 1.49 xG, Fiorentina 1 xG
  • Possession62%38%Juventus 62%, Fiorentina 38%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersJuventus 7 corners, Fiorentina 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls9 foulsJuventus 14 fouls, Fiorentina 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Yacine Adli · Fiorentina · 28′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Colpani · Fiorentina · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDodô · Fiorentina · 76′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucas Beltrán · Fiorentina · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Guðmundsson · Fiorentina · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedManuel Locatelli · Juventus · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFederico Gatti · Juventus · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 23′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 74′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Sottil · Fiorentina · 87′ · 0.05 xG · goalRiccardo Sottil · Fiorentina · 28′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 5′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFederico Gatti · Juventus · 43′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFederico Gatti · Juventus · 74′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFederico Gatti · Juventus · 74′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 61′ · 0.11 xG · on targetMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 87′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedKhéphren Thuram · Juventus · 20′ · 0.12 xG · goalNicolás González · Juventus · 83′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 41′ · 0.21 xG · on targetMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 38′ · 0.48 xG · goalKhéphren Thuram · Juventus · 48′ · 0.54 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Juventus: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.56 xG. Fiorentina: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.99 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Khéphren Thuram · Juventus · 20′Khéphren Thuram · Juventus · 48′Moise Kean · Fiorentina · 38′Riccardo Sottil · Fiorentina · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Juventus 1.56 xG · Fiorentina 0.99 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Juventus
1Draws
1Fiorentina
Juventus — Fiorentina · Serie A1–0
Fiorentina — Juventus · Serie A0–1
Juventus — Fiorentina · Serie A1–0
Fiorentina — Juventus · Serie A1–1
Fiorentina — Juventus · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Juventus favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Fiorentina in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Juventus18 matchesFiorentina17 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored18/17▲ 1.82 goals/match
0.83 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/170.88 goals/match
1.47 xG/matchExpected goals18/171.46 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots18/1713.1 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target18/17▲ 5.06 shots/match
60.9% ●Possession18/1752.2%
5.33 corners/match ●Corners18/174.76 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls18/1710.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 29 Dec 2024, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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