PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Fiorentina 1–2 Udinese · Serie A

1–2Historical match

Udinese

LDLWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Udinese won 1–2.

Shots
1511
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
2.150.88
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Udinese beat Fiorentina 2–1. Recorded in this match (Fiorentina – Udinese): shots 15–11, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 2.15–0.88, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fiorentina's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fiorentina's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.81 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.81 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Udinese show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Udinese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.2 shots/match ▲ShotsFiorentina · Udinese10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFiorentinaUdineseBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against11.1 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Fiorentina have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.1% ●PossessionFiorentina · Udinese45.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFiorentinaUdineseBaseline
Possession53.1%45.1%50.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots11 shotsFiorentina 15 shots, Udinese 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsFiorentina 3 shots, Udinese 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.15 xG0.88 xGFiorentina 2.15 xG, Udinese 0.88 xG
  • Possession51%49%Fiorentina 51%, Udinese 49%
  • Corners10 corners2 cornersFiorentina 10 corners, Udinese 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls14 foulsFiorentina 10 fouls, Udinese 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Danilo Cataldi · Fiorentina · 85′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLuca Ranieri · Fiorentina · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Colpani · Fiorentina · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetArthur Atta · Udinese · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJürgen Ekkelenkamp · Udinese · 23′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSandi Lovrić · Udinese · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAndrea Colpani · Fiorentina · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Udinese · 57′ · 0.04 xG · goalRiccardo Sottil · Fiorentina · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSandi Lovrić · Udinese · 40′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYacine Adli · Fiorentina · 59′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 55′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Udinese · 71′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Ehizibue · Udinese · 83′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 51′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Sottil · Fiorentina · 45′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 49′ · 0.13 xG · goalPietro Comuzzo · Fiorentina · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 69′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedChristian Kouamé · Fiorentina · 86′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 90′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedChristian Kouamé · Fiorentina · 74′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedJordan Zemura · Udinese · 32′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Ikoné · Fiorentina · 88′ · 0.23 xG · on targetMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 8′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fiorentina: 15 shots, 3 on target, 2.19 xG. Udinese: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.86 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Moise Kean · Fiorentina · 8′Lorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 49′Florian Thauvin · Udinese · 57′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fiorentina 2.19 xG · Udinese 0.86 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Fiorentina
1Draws
2Udinese
Fiorentina — Udinese · Serie A2–2
Udinese — Fiorentina · Serie A0–2
Fiorentina — Udinese · Serie A2–0
Udinese — Fiorentina · Serie A1–0
Fiorentina — Udinese · Serie A0–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fiorentina favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Udinese in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fiorentina16 matchesUdinese17 matches
1.81 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/171.24 goals/match
0.81 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/171.53 goals/match
1.49 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/170.97 xG/match
13.2 shots/match ▲Shots16/1710.6 shots/match
5.13 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/173.29 shots/match
53.1% ●Possession16/1745.1%
4.94 corners/match ●Corners16/174.65 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls16/1714 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 23 Dec 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFiorentinaUdinese
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headFiorentina — Udinese
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required