PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Inter 2–0 Como · Serie A

Inter

WDWWW
2–0Historical match

Como

DLDDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter won 2–0.

Shots
178
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.560.33
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Como 2–0. Recorded in this match (Inter – Como): shots 17–8, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.56–0.33, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Inter's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Inter's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.4 goals/match2.63 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots8 shotsInter 17 shots, Como 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsInter 5 shots, Como 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.56 xG0.33 xGInter 1.56 xG, Como 0.33 xG
  • Possession63%37%Inter 63%, Como 37%
  • Corners7 corners1 cornerInter 7 corners, Como 1 corner
  • Fouls13 fouls15 foulsInter 13 fouls, Como 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nico Paz · Como · 27′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFederico Dimarco · Inter · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIgnace Van der Brempt · Como · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlieu Fadera · Como · 31′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNico Paz · Como · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Cutrone · Como · 76′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 58′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYann Bisseck · Inter · 37′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 62′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAndrea Belotti · Como · 71′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDenzel Dumfries · Inter · 72′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 90′ · 0.06 xG · goalMarcus Thuram · Inter · 9′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Barella · Inter · 9′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 20′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedHenrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 12′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedYann Bisseck · Inter · 55′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 42′ · 0.10 xG · on targetPatrick Cutrone · Como · 87′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDenzel Dumfries · Inter · 72′ · 0.12 xG · on targetAlessandro Bastoni · Inter · 70′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Augusto · Inter · 48′ · 0.15 xG · goalMarcus Thuram · Inter · 47′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedDenzel Dumfries · Inter · 33′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Inter: 17 shots, 5 on target, 1.64 xG. Como: 8 shots, 4 on target, 0.35 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Carlos Augusto · Inter · 48′Marcus Thuram · Inter · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Inter 1.64 xG · Como 0.35 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Inter favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Como in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Inter16 matchesComo17 matches
2.63 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/171.06 goals/match
0.94 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/171.76 goals/match
1.91 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/171.11 xG/match
15.6 shots/match ▲Shots16/1714.1 shots/match
5.75 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/174.41 shots/match
59.8% ●Possession16/1754%
6.38 corners/match ●Corners16/174.82 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls16/1712.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 23 Dec 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsInterComo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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