PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Como 2–0 Lecce · Serie A

Como

LDDWL
2–0Historical match

Lecce

WDLWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Como won 2–0.

Shots
1511
Shots on target
81
Expected goals
2.010.44
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Como beat Lecce 2–0. Recorded in this match (Como – Lecce): shots 15–11, shots on target 8–1, expected goals 2.01–0.44, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lecce's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lecce's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.61 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.61 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lecce show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lecce's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.2 shots/match ▲ShotsComo · Lecce11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricComoLecceBaseline
Shots14.2 shots/match11.9 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against9.89 shots/match15.1 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Como have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.2% ●PossessionComo · Lecce42.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricComoLecceBaseline
Possession54.2%42.1%50.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots11 shotsComo 15 shots, Lecce 11 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots1 shotComo 8 shots, Lecce 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.01 xG0.44 xGComo 2.01 xG, Lecce 0.44 xG
  • Possession57%43%Como 57%, Lecce 43%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersComo 4 corners, Lecce 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls15 foulsComo 12 fouls, Lecce 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tete Morente · Lecce · 43′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTete Morente · Lecce · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 1′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPatrick Cutrone · Como · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 37′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNico Paz · Como · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Kaba · Lecce · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 29′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSantiago Pierotti · Lecce · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlieu Fadera · Como · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLucas Da Cunha · Como · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIgnace Van der Brempt · Como · 80′ · 0.04 xG · on targetNico Paz · Como · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPatrick Cutrone · Como · 47′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 9′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHamza Rafia · Lecce · 43′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Kaba · Lecce · 46′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlieu Fadera · Como · 62′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 49′ · 0.07 xG · goalAnte Rebić · Lecce · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 8′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Cutrone · Como · 80′ · 0.27 xG · goalGabriel Strefezza · Como · 75′ · 0.38 xG · on targetNico Paz · Como · 31′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Como: 15 shots, 8 on target, 2.01 xG. Lecce: 11 shots, 1 on target, 0.42 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Nico Paz · Como · 49′Patrick Cutrone · Como · 80′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Como 2.01 xG · Lecce 0.42 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Como
2Draws
0Lecce
Como — Lecce · Serie B1–1
Lecce — Como · Serie B1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Como favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Lecce in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Como18 matchesLecce18 matches
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/180.61 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed18/181.72 goals/match
1.16 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/181.01 xG/match
14.2 shots/match ▲Shots18/1811.9 shots/match
4.61 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/183.33 shots/match
54.2% ●Possession18/1842.1%
4.78 corners/match ●Corners18/183.61 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls18/1811.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 30 Dec 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsComoLecce
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headComo — Lecce
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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