Serie A · 2024

Atalanta 3–2 Empoli · Serie A

3–2Historical match

Empoli

DDLWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atalanta won 3–2.

Shots
167
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
1.351.32
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atalanta beat Empoli 3–2. Recorded in this match (Atalanta – Empoli): shots 16–7, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 1.35–1.32, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Empoli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Empoli's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.94 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.94 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Empoli show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Empoli's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAtalanta · Empoli8.65 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaEmpoliBaseline
Shots15.6 shots/match8.65 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against9.94 shots/match15.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Atalanta have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.4% ●PossessionAtalanta · Empoli38.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaEmpoliBaseline
Possession56.4%38.8%50.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots7 shotsAtalanta 16 shots, Empoli 7 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsAtalanta 7 shots, Empoli 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.35 xG1.32 xGAtalanta 1.35 xG, Empoli 1.32 xG
  • Possession65%35%Atalanta 65%, Empoli 35%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersAtalanta 6 corners, Empoli 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls15 foulsAtalanta 11 fouls, Empoli 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Davide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 42′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLiam Henderson · Empoli · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Esposito · Empoli · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLiberato Cacace · Empoli · 33′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSead Kolašinac · Atalanta · 5′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSebastiano Esposito · Empoli · 36′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedÉderson · Atalanta · 11′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Atalanta · 65′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 84′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Gyasi · Empoli · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 60′ · 0.07 xG · on targetCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 69′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 62′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 86′ · 0.09 xG · goalCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 34′ · 0.10 xG · goalSead Kolašinac · Atalanta · 24′ · 0.11 xG · on targetBerat Djimsiti · Atalanta · 42′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.17 xG · goalBerat Djimsiti · Atalanta · 5′ · 0.20 xG · on targetLorenzo Colombo · Empoli · 13′ · 0.32 xG · goalSebastiano Esposito · Empoli · 57′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atalanta: 16 shots, 7 on target, 1.34 xG. Empoli: 7 shots, 3 on target, 1.33 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Charles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 34′Ademola Lookman · Atalanta · 45′Charles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 86′Lorenzo Colombo · Empoli · 13′Sebastiano Esposito · Empoli · 57′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atalanta 1.34 xG · Empoli 1.33 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Atalanta
0Draws
1Empoli
Atalanta — Empoli · Serie A2–0
Empoli — Atalanta · Serie A0–3
Atalanta — Empoli · Serie A2–1
Empoli — Atalanta · Serie A0–2
Atalanta — Empoli · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atalanta favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Empoli in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atalanta17 matchesEmpoli17 matches
2.47 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/170.94 goals/match
1.12 goals/matchGoals allowed17/171.12 goals/match
1.85 xG/match ▲Expected goals17/170.75 xG/match
15.6 shots/match ▲Shots17/178.65 shots/match
5.88 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/172.82 shots/match
56.4% ●Possession17/1738.8%
5 corners/match ●Corners17/174.24 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls17/1715 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Dec 2024, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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