PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Lazio 1–1 Atalanta · Serie A

Lazio

WLWLW
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lazio and Atalanta drew 1–1.

Shots
1114
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
0.622.81
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lazio and Atalanta drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Lazio – Atalanta): shots 11–14, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 0.62–2.81, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lazio's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lazio's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.83 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots14 shotsLazio 11 shots, Atalanta 14 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsLazio 5 shots, Atalanta 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.62 xG2.81 xGLazio 0.62 xG, Atalanta 2.81 xG
  • Possession40%60%Lazio 40%, Atalanta 60%
  • Corners2 corners7 cornersLazio 2 corners, Atalanta 7 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls11 foulsLazio 6 fouls, Atalanta 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Valentín Castellanos · Lazio · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJuan Cuadrado · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMattéo Guendouzi · Lazio · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Rovella · Lazio · 20′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNicolò Rovella · Lazio · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLoum Tchaouna · Lazio · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRaoul Bellanova · Atalanta · 10′ · 0.04 xG · on targetValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 11′ · 0.04 xG · on targetValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 21′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 60′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 61′ · 0.05 xG · on targetBoulaye Dia · Lazio · 78′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 11′ · 0.10 xG · on targetÉderson · Atalanta · 75′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 75′ · 0.25 xG · on targetJuan Cuadrado · Atalanta · 53′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 75′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedFisayo Dele-Bashiru · Lazio · 27′ · 0.31 xG · goalBerat Djimsiti · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.71 xG · off target or blockedMarco Brescianini · Atalanta · 88′ · 0.89 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lazio: 11 shots, 5 on target, 0.66 xG. Atalanta: 14 shots, 4 on target, 2.88 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Fisayo Dele-Bashiru · Lazio · 27′Marco Brescianini · Atalanta · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lazio 0.66 xG · Atalanta 2.88 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Lazio
1Draws
2Atalanta
Atalanta — Lazio · Serie A3–1
Lazio — Atalanta · Serie A3–2
Lazio — Atalanta · Serie A0–2
Atalanta — Lazio · Serie A0–2
Lazio — Atalanta · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lazio favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Atalanta in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lazio18 matchesAtalanta18 matches
1.83 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲ 2.39 goals/match
1.39 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲ 1.11 goals/match
1.66 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲ 1.9 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots18/18▲ 15.5 shots/match
5.22 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲ 5.78 shots/match
53.6%Possession18/18● 56.6%
5.39 corners/match ●Corners18/185.11 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls18/1811.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 28 Dec 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLazioAtalanta
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headLazio — Atalanta
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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