PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Lecce 1–2 Lazio · Serie A

Lecce

DWDLW
1–2Historical match

Lazio

WWLWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lazio won 1–2.

Shots
1113
Shots on target
27
Expected goals
0.711.85
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lazio beat Lecce 2–1. Recorded in this match (Lecce – Lazio): shots 11–13, shots on target 2–7, expected goals 0.71–1.85, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lecce's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lecce's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.65 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.65 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lecce show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Lecce's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.9 shots/match ▲ShotsLecce · Lazio13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLecceLazioBaseline
Shots11.9 shots/match13.7 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against15.1 shots/match10.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Lazio have recorded the higher season possession share.

42%PossessionLecce · Lazio● 54.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLecceLazioBaseline
Possession42%54.4%50.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots13 shotsLecce 11 shots, Lazio 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots7 shotsLecce 2 shots, Lazio 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.71 xG1.85 xGLecce 0.71 xG, Lazio 1.85 xG
  • Possession40%60%Lecce 40%, Lazio 60%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersLecce 6 corners, Lazio 6 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls12 foulsLecce 13 fouls, Lazio 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tete Morente · Lecce · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedManuel Lazzari · Lazio · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 42′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTete Morente · Lecce · 50′ · 0.02 xG · goalMedon Berisha · Lecce · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnte Rebić · Lecce · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Dorgu · Lecce · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedManuel Lazzari · Lazio · 7′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTete Morente · Lecce · 14′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSantiago Pierotti · Lecce · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAdam Marušić · Lazio · 87′ · 0.05 xG · goalMattéo Guendouzi · Lazio · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTete Morente · Lecce · 12′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Rovella · Lazio · 25′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 86′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBoulaye Dia · Lazio · 48′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 45′ · 0.12 xG · on targetGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 26′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 30′ · 0.14 xG · on targetMohamed Kaba · Lecce · 90′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Pierotti · Lecce · 90′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 45′ · 0.28 xG · on targetValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 45′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lecce: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.79 xG. Lazio: 13 shots, 7 on target, 1.92 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Tete Morente · Lecce · 50′Valentín Castellanos · Lazio · 45′Adam Marušić · Lazio · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lecce 0.79 xG · Lazio 1.92 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Lecce
1Draws
1Lazio
Lazio — Lecce · Serie A1–0
Lecce — Lazio · Serie A2–1
Lazio — Lecce · Serie A2–2
Lecce — Lazio · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lecce favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Lazio in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lecce17 matchesLazio17 matches
0.65 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.88 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 1.41 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals17/17▲ 1.72 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots17/17▲ 13.7 shots/match
3.47 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲ 5.24 shots/match
42%Possession17/17● 54.4%
3.59 corners/matchCorners17/17● 5.59 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls17/1712.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Dec 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLecceLazio
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headLecce — Lazio
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required