PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Lecce 2–1 Monza · Serie A

Lecce

LDWDL
2–1Historical match

Monza

LLDDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lecce won 2–1.

Shots
119
Shots on target
40
Expected goals
1.460.61
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lecce beat Monza 2–1. Recorded in this match (Lecce – Monza): shots 11–9, shots on target 4–0, expected goals 1.46–0.61, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lecce's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lecce's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.63 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Monza have a visible away split

moderate

Monza's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season8.94 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7 shots/match8.94 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots9 shotsLecce 11 shots, Monza 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots0 shotsLecce 4 shots, Monza 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.46 xG0.61 xGLecce 1.46 xG, Monza 0.61 xG
  • Possession45%55%Lecce 45%, Monza 55%
  • Corners2 corners7 cornersLecce 2 corners, Monza 7 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls16 foulsLecce 16 fouls, Monza 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Lecce
3Draws
0Monza
Lecce — Monza · Serie A1–1
Monza — Lecce · Serie A1–1
Monza — Lecce · Serie A0–1
Lecce — Monza · Serie A1–1
Monza — Lecce · Serie B0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lecce favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Monza in 7

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lecce16 matchesMonza16 matches
0.63 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲ 0.88 goals/match
1.69 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲ 1.31 goals/match
1.06 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/160.77 xG/match
12 shots/match ▲Shots16/168.94 shots/match
3.56 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/162.56 shots/match
42.1%Possession16/16● 48.3%
3.44 corners/matchCorners16/16● 3.88 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls16/1614.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Dec 2024, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLecceMonza
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headLecce — Monza
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required