Serie A · 2024

Parma 2–3 Hellas Verona · Serie A

Parma

LWLWL
2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Hellas Verona won 2–3.

Shots
1917
Shots on target
86
Expected goals
1.922.57
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Hellas Verona beat Parma 3–2. Recorded in this match (Parma – Hellas Verona): shots 19–17, shots on target 8–6, expected goals 1.92–2.57, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Parma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Parma's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.44 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots17 shotsParma 19 shots, Hellas Verona 17 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots6 shotsParma 8 shots, Hellas Verona 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.92 xG2.57 xGParma 1.92 xG, Hellas Verona 2.57 xG
  • Possession55%45%Parma 55%, Hellas Verona 45%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersParma 5 corners, Hellas Verona 2 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls16 foulsParma 5 fouls, Hellas Verona 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Dennis Man · Parma · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedReda Belahyane · Hellas Verona · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDarko Lazović · Hellas Verona · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPontus Almqvist · Parma · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnge-Yoan Bonny · Parma · 19′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAbdou Harroui · Hellas Verona · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEnrico Delprato · Parma · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPontus Almqvist · Parma · 73′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAntoine Hainaut · Parma · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPaweł Dawidowicz · Hellas Verona · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedReda Belahyane · Hellas Verona · 82′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSimon Sohm · Parma · 90′ · 0.04 xG · goalAnge-Yoan Bonny · Parma · 19′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAbdou Harroui · Hellas Verona · 42′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPontus Almqvist · Parma · 48′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPontus Almqvist · Parma · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAmin Sarr · Hellas Verona · 35′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEmanuele Valeri · Parma · 69′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPontus Almqvist · Parma · 46′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAbdou Harroui · Hellas Verona · 63′ · 0.07 xG · on targetDiego Coppola · Hellas Verona · 5′ · 0.08 xG · goalAmin Sarr · Hellas Verona · 4′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPontus Almqvist · Parma · 61′ · 0.11 xG · on targetAbdou Harroui · Hellas Verona · 34′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedSimon Sohm · Parma · 88′ · 0.12 xG · on targetDennis Man · Parma · 70′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedDailon Rocha Livramento · Hellas Verona · 75′ · 0.14 xG · on targetDennis Man · Parma · 49′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedDailon Rocha Livramento · Hellas Verona · 68′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAmin Sarr · Hellas Verona · 57′ · 0.19 xG · goalAnge-Yoan Bonny · Parma · 45′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Mosquera · Hellas Verona · 75′ · 0.31 xG · goalDennis Man · Parma · 11′ · 0.35 xG · on targetSimon Sohm · Parma · 19′ · 0.38 xG · goalAbdou Harroui · Hellas Verona · 10′ · 0.59 xG · off target or blockedAbdou Harroui · Hellas Verona · 65′ · 0.61 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Parma: 19 shots, 8 on target, 1.94 xG. Hellas Verona: 17 shots, 6 on target, 2.62 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Simon Sohm · Parma · 19′Simon Sohm · Parma · 90′Diego Coppola · Hellas Verona · 5′Amin Sarr · Hellas Verona · 57′Daniel Mosquera · Hellas Verona · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Parma 1.94 xG · Hellas Verona 2.62 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Parma favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Hellas Verona in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Parma16 matchesHellas Verona16 matches
1.44 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/161.31 goals/match
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/162.44 goals/match
1.34 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/161.03 xG/match
12.9 shots/match ▲Shots16/169.88 shots/match
3.94 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/162.69 shots/match
45% ●Possession16/1639.8%
4.94 corners/match ●Corners16/163.94 corners/match
9.25 fouls/matchFouls16/1614 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Dec 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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