PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Monza 1–2 Udinese · Serie A

Monza

LLLDD
1–2Historical match

Udinese

LLLDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Udinese won 1–2.

Shots
2710
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.321.22
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Udinese beat Monza 2–1. Recorded in this match (Monza – Udinese): shots 27–10, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.32–1.22, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Monza's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Monza's last-five shots average is above their season average.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season8.93 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match8.93 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Monza have a visible home split

moderate

Monza's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season8.93 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match8.93 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14 fouls/matchFoulsMonza · Udinese14 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricMonzaUdineseBaseline
Fouls14 fouls/match14 fouls/match12.1 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots27 shots10 shotsMonza 27 shots, Udinese 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsMonza 4 shots, Udinese 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.32 xG1.22 xGMonza 1.32 xG, Udinese 1.22 xG
  • Possession67%33%Monza 67%, Udinese 33%
  • Corners10 corners1 cornerMonza 10 corners, Udinese 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls16 foulsMonza 12 fouls, Udinese 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Warren Bondo · Monza · 2′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Bianco · Monza · 54′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Bianco · Monza · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Bianco · Monza · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Maldini · Monza · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPedro Pereira · Monza · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Maldini · Monza · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Maldini · Monza · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDany Mota · Monza · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMilan Đurić · Monza · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Carboni · Monza · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Bianco · Monza · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMilan Đurić · Monza · 24′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJesper Karlström · Udinese · 25′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedArmando Izzo · Monza · 26′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPedro Pereira · Monza · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Caprari · Monza · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWarren Bondo · Monza · 43′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Bianco · Monza · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Caprari · Monza · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Maldini · Monza · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 67′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMilan Đurić · Monza · 16′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Caprari · Monza · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGeorgios Kyriakopoulos · Monza · 47′ · 0.06 xG · goalJames Abankwah · Udinese · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDany Mota · Monza · 79′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Udinese · 55′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJaka Bijol · Udinese · 62′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJürgen Ekkelenkamp · Udinese · 68′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 35′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMilan Đurić · Monza · 72′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMilan Đurić · Monza · 54′ · 0.13 xG · on targetLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Caprari · Monza · 14′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 6′ · 0.22 xG · goalJaka Bijol · Udinese · 70′ · 0.38 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Monza: 27 shots, 4 on target, 1.32 xG. Udinese: 10 shots, 3 on target, 1.23 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Georgios Kyriakopoulos · Monza · 47′Lorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 6′Jaka Bijol · Udinese · 70′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Monza 1.32 xG · Udinese 1.23 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Monza
3Draws
1Udinese
Udinese — Monza · Serie A0–0
Monza — Udinese · Serie A1–1
Udinese — Monza · Serie A2–2
Monza — Udinese · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Monza favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Udinese in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Monza15 matchesUdinese15 matches
0.87 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 1.2 goals/match
1.27 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/151.47 goals/match
0.78 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲ 0.92 xG/match
8.93 shots/matchShots15/15▲ 10.9 shots/match
2.73 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲ 3.27 shots/match
47.8% ●Possession15/1545.9%
3.67 corners/matchCorners15/15● 4.93 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls15/1514 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 9 Dec 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMonzaUdinese
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headMonza — Udinese
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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