PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Napoli 0–1 Lazio · Serie A

Napoli

WLDWW
0–1Historical match

Lazio

WWWWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lazio won 0–1.

Shots
127
Shots on target
13
Expected goals
0.560.29
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lazio beat Napoli 1–0. Recorded in this match (Napoli – Lazio): shots 12–7, shots on target 1–3, expected goals 0.56–0.29, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Napoli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Napoli's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.4 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.4 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Napoli have a visible home split

moderate

Napoli's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.4 corners/matchCornersNapoli · Lazio● 5.67 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricNapoliLazioBaseline
Corners5.4 corners/match5.67 corners/match4.82 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots7 shotsNapoli 12 shots, Lazio 7 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot3 shotsNapoli 1 shot, Lazio 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.56 xG0.29 xGNapoli 0.56 xG, Lazio 0.29 xG
  • Possession57%43%Napoli 57%, Lazio 43%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersNapoli 6 corners, Lazio 2 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls12 foulsNapoli 16 fouls, Lazio 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nuno Tavares · Lazio · 16′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 69′ · 0.01 xG · on targetDavid Neres · Napoli · 78′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedStanislav Lobotka · Napoli · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Politano · Napoli · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFisayo Dele-Bashiru · Lazio · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFrank Anguissa · Napoli · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 20′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 31′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFrank Anguissa · Napoli · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Napoli · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFrank Anguissa · Napoli · 33′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTijjani Noslin · Lazio · 74′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFrank Anguissa · Napoli · 71′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Napoli · 3′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 79′ · 0.14 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Napoli: 12 shots, 1 on target, 0.56 xG. Lazio: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.29 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Gustav Isaksen · Lazio · 79′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Napoli 0.56 xG · Lazio 0.29 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Napoli
1Draws
2Lazio
Lazio — Napoli · Serie A0–0
Napoli — Lazio · Serie A1–2
Napoli — Lazio · Serie A0–1
Lazio — Napoli · Serie A1–2
Lazio — Napoli · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Napoli favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Lazio in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Napoli15 matchesLazio15 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 2 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/151.13 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲ 1.8 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots15/1514.1 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲ 5.33 shots/match
50.3%Possession15/15● 54.2%
5.4 corners/matchCorners15/15● 5.67 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls15/1512.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Dec 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNapoliLazio
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headNapoli — Lazio
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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