PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Hellas Verona 1–4 Empoli · Serie A

1–4Historical match

Empoli

LWDDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Empoli won 1–4.

Shots
1215
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.941.31
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Empoli beat Hellas Verona 4–1. Recorded in this match (Hellas Verona – Empoli): shots 12–15, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.94–1.31, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Empoli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Empoli's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.93 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.93 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Hellas Verona have a visible home split

moderate

Hellas Verona's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11 shots/match9.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13.9 fouls/matchFoulsHellas Verona · Empoli15.5 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricHellas VeronaEmpoliBaseline
Fouls13.9 fouls/match15.5 fouls/match12.1 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots15 shotsHellas Verona 12 shots, Empoli 15 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsHellas Verona 3 shots, Empoli 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.94 xG1.31 xGHellas Verona 0.94 xG, Empoli 1.31 xG
  • Possession51%49%Hellas Verona 51%, Empoli 49%
  • Corners5 corners8 cornersHellas Verona 5 corners, Empoli 8 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls16 foulsHellas Verona 15 fouls, Empoli 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jackson Tchatchoua · Hellas Verona · 39′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Colombo · Empoli · 42′ · 0.01 xG · goalGrigoris Kastanos · Hellas Verona · 67′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGiuseppe Pezzella · Empoli · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Esposito · Empoli · 16′ · 0.02 xG · goalTino Anjorin · Empoli · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbdou Harroui · Hellas Verona · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJackson Tchatchoua · Hellas Verona · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuca Marianucci · Empoli · 89′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 39′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSaba Goglichidze · Empoli · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Esposito · Empoli · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Colombo · Empoli · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Ekong · Empoli · 72′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Esposito · Empoli · 19′ · 0.07 xG · goalTino Anjorin · Empoli · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Mosquera · Hellas Verona · 65′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGiangiacomo Magnani · Hellas Verona · 43′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedTino Anjorin · Empoli · 46′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedCasper Tengstedt · Hellas Verona · 35′ · 0.10 xG · goalAbdou Harroui · Hellas Verona · 73′ · 0.10 xG · on targetGrigoris Kastanos · Hellas Verona · 87′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedLiberato Cacace · Empoli · 32′ · 0.15 xG · goalSebastiano Esposito · Empoli · 49′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedPaweł Dawidowicz · Hellas Verona · 44′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Mosquera · Hellas Verona · 81′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Gyasi · Empoli · 62′ · 0.51 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Hellas Verona: 12 shots, 3 on target, 0.93 xG. Empoli: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.29 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Casper Tengstedt · Hellas Verona · 35′Sebastiano Esposito · Empoli · 16′Sebastiano Esposito · Empoli · 19′Liberato Cacace · Empoli · 32′Lorenzo Colombo · Empoli · 42′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Hellas Verona 0.93 xG · Empoli 1.29 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Hellas Verona
3Draws
0Empoli
Hellas Verona — Empoli · Serie A2–1
Empoli — Hellas Verona · Serie A0–1
Hellas Verona — Empoli · Serie A1–1
Empoli — Hellas Verona · Serie A1–1
Empoli — Hellas Verona · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Hellas Verona favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Empoli in 5

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Hellas Verona15 matchesEmpoli15 matches
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/150.93 goals/match
2.47 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 1 goal/match
0.93 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/150.72 xG/match
9.4 shots/match ▲Shots15/158.67 shots/match
2.47 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲ 2.73 shots/match
39.4% ●Possession15/1537.7%
4.07 corners/match ●Corners15/153.8 corners/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls15/1515.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Dec 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHellas VeronaEmpoli
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headHellas Verona — Empoli
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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