PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Torino 0–2 Bologna · Serie A

Torino

LDLDW
0–2Historical match

Bologna

WLWDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bologna won 0–2.

Shots
68
Shots on target
05
Expected goals
0.271.75
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bologna beat Torino 2–0. Recorded in this match (Torino – Bologna): shots 6–8, shots on target 0–5, expected goals 0.27–1.75, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Torino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Torino's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Torino show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Torino's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.59 shots/match ▲ShotsTorino · Bologna13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTorinoBolognaBaseline
Shots9.59 shots/match13 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against14.6 shots/match10.5 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Bologna have a visible away split

moderate

Bologna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match13 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots8 shotsTorino 6 shots, Bologna 8 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots5 shotsTorino 0 shots, Bologna 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.27 xG1.75 xGTorino 0.27 xG, Bologna 1.75 xG
  • Possession42%58%Torino 42%, Bologna 58%
  • Corners4 corners0 cornersTorino 4 corners, Bologna 0 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls17 foulsTorino 11 fouls, Bologna 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tommaso Pobega · Bologna · 61′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSamuele Ricci · Torino · 70′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAdam Masina · Torino · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBenjamín Domínguez · Bologna · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMarcus Pedersen · Torino · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYann Karamoh · Torino · 2′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRemo Freuler · Bologna · 67′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTommaso Pobega · Bologna · 80′ · 0.06 xG · goalBorna Sosa · Torino · 26′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedChe Adams · Torino · 68′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTommaso Pobega · Bologna · 8′ · 0.12 xG · on targetThijs Dallinga · Bologna · 71′ · 0.70 xG · goalSantiago Castro · Bologna · 8′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Torino: 6 shots, 0 on target, 0.27 xG. Bologna: 8 shots, 5 on target, 1.85 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Thijs Dallinga · Bologna · 71′Tommaso Pobega · Bologna · 80′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Torino 0.27 xG · Bologna 1.85 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Torino
2Draws
2Bologna
Torino — Bologna · Serie A0–0
Bologna — Torino · Serie A2–0
Torino — Bologna · Serie A1–0
Bologna — Torino · Serie A2–1
Bologna — Torino · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Torino favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Bologna in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Torino17 matchesBologna16 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored17/16▲ 1.44 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed17/16▲ 1.13 goals/match
0.98 xG/matchExpected goals17/16▲ 1.24 xG/match
9.59 shots/matchShots17/16▲ 13 shots/match
3.24 shots/matchShots on target17/16▲ 4.5 shots/match
47.6%Possession17/16● 56.8%
3.88 corners/matchCorners17/16● 4.19 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls17/1615.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Dec 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTorinoBologna
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headTorino — Bologna
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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