Serie A · 2024

Parma 2–1 Monza · Serie A

Parma

LWLLL
2–1Historical match

Monza

DDLLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Parma won 2–1.

Shots
910
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
1.362.63
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Parma beat Monza 2–1. Recorded in this match (Parma – Monza): shots 9–10, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 1.36–2.63, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Monza's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Monza's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season9.44 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match9.44 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Monza have a visible away split

moderate

Monza's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.33 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season9.44 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.33 shots/match9.44 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots10 shotsParma 9 shots, Monza 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsParma 3 shots, Monza 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.36 xG2.63 xGParma 1.36 xG, Monza 2.63 xG
  • Possession44%56%Parma 44%, Monza 56%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersParma 4 corners, Monza 6 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls21 foulsParma 16 fouls, Monza 21 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Emanuele Valeri · Parma · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEmanuele Valeri · Parma · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDrissa Camara · Parma · 79′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Maldini · Monza · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSimon Sohm · Parma · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Valenti · Parma · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDanilo D'Ambrosio · Monza · 8′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedValentin Mihăilă · Parma · 10′ · 0.08 xG · on targetLautaro Valenti · Parma · 90′ · 0.10 xG · goalArmando Izzo · Monza · 24′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Bianco · Monza · 28′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedSamuele Birindelli · Monza · 45′ · 0.12 xG · on targetGianluca Caprari · Monza · 21′ · 0.14 xG · on targetAnge-Yoan Bonny · Parma · 78′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedPedro Pereira · Monza · 85′ · 0.38 xG · goalDaniel Maldini · Monza · 1′ · 0.39 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Maldini · Monza · 2′ · 0.47 xG · on targetDaniel Maldini · Monza · 2′ · 0.81 xG · off target or blockedHernani · Parma · 56′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Parma: 9 shots, 3 on target, 1.39 xG. Monza: 10 shots, 4 on target, 2.66 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Hernani · Parma · 56′Lautaro Valenti · Parma · 90′Pedro Pereira · Monza · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Parma 1.39 xG · Monza 2.66 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Parma
2Draws
0Monza
Monza — Parma · Serie B1–1
Parma — Monza · Serie B0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Parma favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Monza in 6

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Parma18 matchesMonza18 matches
1.39 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/180.89 goals/match
1.89 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲ 1.39 goals/match
1.29 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/180.9 xG/match
12.5 shots/match ▲Shots18/189.44 shots/match
3.83 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/182.78 shots/match
44.7%Possession18/18● 48.5%
4.72 corners/match ●Corners18/183.94 corners/match
9.61 fouls/matchFouls18/1814.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 28 Dec 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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