PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Empoli 1–2 Genoa · Serie A

Empoli

DLWLL
1–2Historical match

Genoa

DWDDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Genoa won 1–2.

Shots
1214
Shots on target
85
Expected goals
1.341.77
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Genoa beat Empoli 2–1. Recorded in this match (Empoli – Genoa): shots 12–14, shots on target 8–5, expected goals 1.34–1.77, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Empoli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Empoli's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.94 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.94 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots14 shotsEmpoli 12 shots, Genoa 14 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots5 shotsEmpoli 8 shots, Genoa 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.34 xG1.77 xGEmpoli 1.34 xG, Genoa 1.77 xG
  • Possession59%41%Empoli 59%, Genoa 41%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersEmpoli 7 corners, Genoa 4 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls13 foulsEmpoli 16 fouls, Genoa 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Stefano Sabelli · Genoa · 90′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Zanoli · Genoa · 32′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJohan Vásquez · Genoa · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLiberato Cacace · Empoli · 43′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTino Anjorin · Empoli · 73′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJohan Vásquez · Genoa · 8′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTino Anjorin · Empoli · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Colombo · Empoli · 86′ · 0.03 xG · on targetVitinha · Genoa · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLiam Henderson · Empoli · 25′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTino Anjorin · Empoli · 32′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSebastiano Esposito · Empoli · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Genoa · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Colombo · Empoli · 57′ · 0.05 xG · on targetVitinha · Genoa · 17′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Esposito · Empoli · 87′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Colombo · Empoli · 50′ · 0.10 xG · on targetCaleb Ekuban · Genoa · 63′ · 0.10 xG · on targetFabio Miretti · Genoa · 67′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Esposito · Empoli · 74′ · 0.11 xG · goalVitinha · Genoa · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMilan Badelj · Genoa · 46′ · 0.12 xG · goalCaleb Ekuban · Genoa · 65′ · 0.15 xG · on targetAndrea Pinamonti · Genoa · 46′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedCaleb Ekuban · Genoa · 68′ · 0.79 xG · goalSebastiano Esposito · Empoli · 54′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Empoli: 12 shots, 8 on target, 1.37 xG. Genoa: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.76 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Sebastiano Esposito · Empoli · 74′Milan Badelj · Genoa · 46′Caleb Ekuban · Genoa · 68′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Empoli 1.37 xG · Genoa 1.76 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Empoli
4Draws
0Genoa
Empoli — Genoa · Serie A0–0
Genoa — Empoli · Serie A1–1
Genoa — Empoli · Serie A0–0
Empoli — Genoa · Serie A2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Empoli favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Genoa in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Empoli18 matchesGenoa18 matches
0.94 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/180.89 goals/match
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/181.5 goals/match
0.78 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲ 1 xG/match
8.83 shots/matchShots18/18▲ 11.1 shots/match
3.11 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲ 3.39 shots/match
39.9%Possession18/18● 42.7%
4.39 corners/match ●Corners18/183.94 corners/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls18/1812.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 28 Dec 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEmpoliGenoa
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headEmpoli — Genoa
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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