PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Fiorentina 2–1 Genoa · Serie A

2–1Historical match

Genoa

WDWLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fiorentina won 2–1.

Shots
717
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
0.641.3
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fiorentina beat Genoa 2–1. Recorded in this match (Fiorentina – Genoa): shots 7–17, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 0.64–1.3, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fiorentina's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fiorentina's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.68 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.68 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots17 shotsFiorentina 7 shots, Genoa 17 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsFiorentina 6 shots, Genoa 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.64 xG1.3 xGFiorentina 0.64 xG, Genoa 1.3 xG
  • Possession40%60%Fiorentina 40%, Genoa 60%
  • Corners1 corner8 cornersFiorentina 1 corner, Genoa 8 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls14 foulsFiorentina 17 fouls, Genoa 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Patrizio Masini · Genoa · 19′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMorten Frendrup · Genoa · 25′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Guðmundsson · Fiorentina · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetVitinha · Genoa · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMorten Frendrup · Genoa · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAarón Martín · Genoa · 18′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJohan Vásquez · Genoa · 37′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Genoa · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFabio Miretti · Genoa · 61′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDodô · Fiorentina · 64′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDodô · Fiorentina · 70′ · 0.06 xG · on targetChristian Kouamé · Fiorentina · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Pinamonti · Genoa · 60′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMorten Frendrup · Genoa · 60′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCaleb Ekuban · Genoa · 77′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Pinamonti · Genoa · 24′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMaxwel Cornet · Genoa · 32′ · 0.09 xG · on targetKoni De Winter · Genoa · 55′ · 0.11 xG · goalAlbert Guðmundsson · Fiorentina · 30′ · 0.14 xG · goalFabio Miretti · Genoa · 58′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMarin Pongračić · Fiorentina · 65′ · 0.15 xG · on targetMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 9′ · 0.21 xG · goalMaxwel Cornet · Genoa · 37′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedKoni De Winter · Genoa · 68′ · 0.34 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fiorentina: 7 shots, 6 on target, 0.71 xG. Genoa: 17 shots, 3 on target, 1.61 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Moise Kean · Fiorentina · 9′Albert Guðmundsson · Fiorentina · 30′Koni De Winter · Genoa · 55′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fiorentina 0.71 xG · Genoa 1.61 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Fiorentina
1Draws
0Genoa
Genoa — Fiorentina · Serie A0–1
Fiorentina — Genoa · Serie A1–1
Genoa — Fiorentina · Serie A1–4
Fiorentina — Genoa · Serie A6–0
Genoa — Fiorentina · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fiorentina favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Genoa in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fiorentina22 matchesGenoa23 matches
1.68 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/230.91 goals/match
1.05 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/231.39 goals/match
1.38 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/231.07 xG/match
12.8 shots/match ▲Shots22/2311.3 shots/match
4.77 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/233.39 shots/match
51.2% ●Possession22/2344.5%
4.59 corners/match ●Corners22/234.35 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls22/2312.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Feb 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFiorentinaGenoa
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headFiorentina — Genoa
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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