PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Genoa 2–0 Monza · Serie A

Genoa

LWDWL
2–0Historical match

Monza

LLLWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Genoa won 2–0.

Shots
185
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
2.660.43
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Genoa beat Monza 2–0. Recorded in this match (Genoa – Monza): shots 18–5, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 2.66–0.43, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Genoa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Genoa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.91 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.91 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Monza have a visible away split

moderate

Monza's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

6.73 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season8.82 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots6.73 shots/match8.82 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Monza show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Monza's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsGenoa · Monza8.82 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGenoaMonzaBaseline
Shots11 shots/match8.82 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against13.1 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots5 shotsGenoa 18 shots, Monza 5 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotGenoa 6 shots, Monza 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.66 xG0.43 xGGenoa 2.66 xG, Monza 0.43 xG
  • Possession50%50%Genoa 50%, Monza 50%
  • Corners9 corners6 cornersGenoa 9 corners, Monza 6 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls19 foulsGenoa 13 fouls, Monza 19 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Morten Thorsby · Genoa · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAarón Martín · Genoa · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLior Kasa · Genoa · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDany Mota · Monza · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFabio Miretti · Genoa · 80′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJohan Vásquez · Genoa · 6′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFabio Miretti · Genoa · 26′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJohan Vásquez · Genoa · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCaleb Ekuban · Genoa · 82′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDanilo D'Ambrosio · Monza · 53′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAndrea Carboni · Monza · 78′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Pinamonti · Genoa · 28′ · 0.08 xG · on targetFabio Miretti · Genoa · 37′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGeorgios Kyriakopoulos · Monza · 16′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedCaleb Ekuban · Genoa · 87′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJeff Ekhator · Genoa · 90′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedFabio Miretti · Genoa · 46′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Caprari · Monza · 52′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedMorten Thorsby · Genoa · 57′ · 0.20 xG · on targetJohan Vásquez · Genoa · 84′ · 0.20 xG · goalKoni De Winter · Genoa · 90′ · 0.22 xG · on targetKoni De Winter · Genoa · 61′ · 0.40 xG · goalAndrea Pinamonti · Genoa · 31′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Genoa: 18 shots, 6 on target, 2.74 xG. Monza: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.44 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Koni De Winter · Genoa · 61′Johan Vásquez · Genoa · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Genoa 2.74 xG · Monza 0.44 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Genoa
0Draws
2Monza
Monza — Genoa · Serie A0–1
Genoa — Monza · Serie A2–3
Monza — Genoa · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Genoa favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Monza in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Genoa22 matchesMonza22 matches
0.91 goals/matchGoals scored22/220.91 goals/match
1.36 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/221.5 goals/match
1.06 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/220.89 xG/match
11 shots/match ▲Shots22/228.82 shots/match
3.41 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/222.59 shots/match
43.8%Possession22/22● 47.6%
4.18 corners/match ●Corners22/223.64 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls22/2215 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 27 Jan 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGenoaMonza
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headGenoa — Monza
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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