Serie A · 2024

Fiorentina 3–0 Inter · Serie A

3–0Historical match

Inter

WDWWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fiorentina won 3–0.

Shots
1011
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
0.80.42
Possession
28%72%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fiorentina beat Inter 3–0. Recorded in this match (Fiorentina – Inter): shots 10–11, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 0.8–0.42, possession 28%–72%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Inter's recent record differs from the season

weak

Inter's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match2.43 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fiorentina show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Fiorentina's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsFiorentina · Inter15.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFiorentinaInterBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match15.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against11.7 shots/match9.17 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Inter have recorded the higher season possession share.

50.2%PossessionFiorentina · Inter● 60%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFiorentinaInterBaseline
Possession50.2%60%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots11 shotsFiorentina 10 shots, Inter 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsFiorentina 6 shots, Inter 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.8 xG0.42 xGFiorentina 0.8 xG, Inter 0.42 xG
  • Possession28%72%Fiorentina 28%, Inter 72%
  • Corners1 corner8 cornersFiorentina 1 corner, Inter 8 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls10 foulsFiorentina 11 fouls, Inter 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Fabiano Parisi · Fiorentina · 77′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 20′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDavide Frattesi · Inter · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 75′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLuca Ranieri · Fiorentina · 60′ · 0.03 xG · goalLautaro Martínez · Inter · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Colpani · Fiorentina · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 68′ · 0.04 xG · goalNicolò Barella · Inter · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarko Arnautović · Inter · 81′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Bastoni · Inter · 22′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDavide Frattesi · Inter · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 2′ · 0.06 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 54′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDodô · Fiorentina · 37′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDodô · Fiorentina · 39′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 34′ · 0.18 xG · on targetMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 89′ · 0.39 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fiorentina: 10 shots, 6 on target, 1.01 xG. Inter: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.42 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Luca Ranieri · Fiorentina · 60′Moise Kean · Fiorentina · 68′Moise Kean · Fiorentina · 89′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fiorentina 1.01 xG · Inter 0.42 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Fiorentina
1Draws
3Inter
Fiorentina — Inter · Serie A0–1
Inter — Fiorentina · Serie A4–0
Inter — Fiorentina · Serie A0–1
Fiorentina — Inter · Serie A3–4
Inter — Fiorentina · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fiorentina favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Inter in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fiorentina23 matchesInter23 matches
1.74 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 2.43 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed23/230.96 goals/match
1.35 xG/matchExpected goals23/23▲ 1.88 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots23/23▲ 15.4 shots/match
4.83 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲ 5.61 shots/match
50.2%Possession23/23● 60%
4.43 corners/matchCorners23/23● 6.22 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls23/2311.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 6 Feb 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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