PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Como 1–2 Juventus · Serie A

Como

DLWLL
1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Juventus won 1–2.

Shots
168
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
0.951.14
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Juventus beat Como 2–1. Recorded in this match (Como – Juventus): shots 16–8, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 0.95–1.14, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Como's recent record differs from the season

weak

Como's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots8 shotsComo 16 shots, Juventus 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsComo 6 shots, Juventus 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.95 xG1.14 xGComo 0.95 xG, Juventus 1.14 xG
  • Possession52%48%Como 52%, Juventus 48%
  • Corners9 corners1 cornerComo 9 corners, Juventus 1 corner
  • Fouls15 fouls15 foulsComo 15 fouls, Juventus 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ivan Smolčić · Como · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLucas Da Cunha · Como · 51′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Juventus · 70′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedÁlex Valle · Como · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Strefezza · Como · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Strefezza · Como · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAssane Diao · Como · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucas Da Cunha · Como · 23′ · 0.03 xG · on targetÁlex Valle · Como · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIvan Smolčić · Como · 52′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNicolás González · Juventus · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLloyd Kelly · Juventus · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Juventus · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Strefezza · Como · 51′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlberto Dossena · Como · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Cutrone · Como · 57′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDouglas Luiz · Juventus · 82′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 11′ · 0.08 xG · on targetFederico Gatti · Juventus · 26′ · 0.08 xG · on targetNico Paz · Como · 46′ · 0.08 xG · on targetRandal Kolo Muani · Juventus · 34′ · 0.10 xG · goalNico Paz · Como · 43′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedAssane Diao · Como · 45′ · 0.24 xG · goalRandal Kolo Muani · Juventus · 89′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Como: 16 shots, 6 on target, 0.95 xG. Juventus: 8 shots, 3 on target, 1.18 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Assane Diao · Como · 45′Randal Kolo Muani · Juventus · 34′Randal Kolo Muani · Juventus · 89′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Como 0.95 xG · Juventus 1.18 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Como
0Draws
1Juventus
Juventus — Como · Serie A3–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Como favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Juventus in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Como24 matchesJuventus24 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲ 1.71 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲ 0.88 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals24/24▲ 1.39 xG/match
13.9 shots/match ▲Shots24/2413.2 shots/match
4.63 shots/matchShots on target24/244.79 shots/match
54%Possession24/24● 58.7%
4.71 corners/matchCorners24/24● 4.79 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls24/2412.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 7 Feb 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsComoJuventus
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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