PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Bologna 2–0 Como · Serie A

Bologna

LDDWD
2–0Historical match

Como

WDLWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bologna won 2–0.

Shots
158
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
1.40.54
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bologna beat Como 2–0. Recorded in this match (Bologna – Como): shots 15–8, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 1.4–0.54, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bologna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.59 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.59 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bologna have a visible home split

moderate

Bologna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots8 shotsBologna 15 shots, Como 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotBologna 4 shots, Como 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.4 xG0.54 xGBologna 1.4 xG, Como 0.54 xG
  • Possession51%49%Bologna 51%, Como 49%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersBologna 4 corners, Como 2 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls18 foulsBologna 16 fouls, Como 18 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nikola Moro · Bologna · 14′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Cutrone · Como · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThijs Dallinga · Bologna · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÁlex Valle · Como · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNikola Moro · Bologna · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJens Odgaard · Bologna · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCharalampos Lykogiannis · Bologna · 2′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJens Odgaard · Bologna · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAssane Diao · Como · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedThijs Dallinga · Bologna · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCharalampos Lykogiannis · Bologna · 10′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Cutrone · Como · 11′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBenjamín Domínguez · Bologna · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 31′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Ikoné · Como · 70′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBenjamín Domínguez · Bologna · 38′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 31′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJhon Lucumí · Bologna · 14′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedSam Beukema · Bologna · 73′ · 0.11 xG · on targetThijs Dallinga · Bologna · 38′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 90′ · 0.16 xG · on targetLorenzo De Silvestri · Bologna · 25′ · 0.30 xG · goalGiovanni Fabbian · Bologna · 66′ · 0.51 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bologna: 15 shots, 4 on target, 1.57 xG. Como: 8 shots, 1 on target, 0.52 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Lorenzo De Silvestri · Bologna · 25′Giovanni Fabbian · Bologna · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bologna 1.57 xG · Como 0.52 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Bologna
1Draws
0Como
Como — Bologna · Serie A2–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bologna favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Como in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bologna22 matchesComo23 matches
1.59 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/231.17 goals/match
1.23 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/231.65 goals/match
1.3 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/231.19 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots22/2313.8 shots/match
5.09 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/234.57 shots/match
57.2% ●Possession22/2354.1%
4.36 corners/matchCorners22/23● 4.52 corners/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls22/2313 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Feb 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBolognaComo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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