Serie A · 2024

Atalanta 1–1 Torino · Serie A

1–1Historical match

Torino

DDDDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atalanta and Torino drew 1–1.

Shots
225
Shots on target
103
Expected goals
2.970.58
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atalanta and Torino drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Atalanta – Torino): shots 22–5, shots on target 10–3, expected goals 2.97–0.58, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atalanta's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atalanta's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match2.13 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Torino show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Torino's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAtalanta · Torino9.87 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaTorinoBaseline
Shots14.9 shots/match9.87 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against10.2 shots/match14.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Atalanta have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.5% ●PossessionAtalanta · Torino47.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaTorinoBaseline
Possession56.5%47.8%50.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots5 shotsAtalanta 22 shots, Torino 5 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots3 shotsAtalanta 10 shots, Torino 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.97 xG0.58 xGAtalanta 2.97 xG, Torino 0.58 xG
  • Possession65%35%Atalanta 65%, Torino 35%
  • Corners8 corners0 cornersAtalanta 8 corners, Torino 0 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls11 foulsAtalanta 6 fouls, Torino 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Raoul Bellanova · Atalanta · 32′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYann Karamoh · Torino · 43′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 66′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSamuele Ricci · Torino · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJuan Cuadrado · Atalanta · 69′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJuan Cuadrado · Atalanta · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJuan Cuadrado · Atalanta · 60′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJuan Cuadrado · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarco Brescianini · Atalanta · 25′ · 0.07 xG · on targetChe Adams · Torino · 50′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 60′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 84′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMarten de Roon · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBerat Djimsiti · Atalanta · 35′ · 0.09 xG · goalGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 86′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAlieu Njie · Torino · 87′ · 0.09 xG · on targetIsak Hien · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 82′ · 0.19 xG · on targetMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 79′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedMarco Brescianini · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedGuillermo Maripán · Torino · 40′ · 0.46 xG · goalMarco Brescianini · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.61 xG · on targetMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 74′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atalanta: 22 shots, 10 on target, 2.96 xG. Torino: 5 shots, 3 on target, 0.65 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Berat Djimsiti · Atalanta · 35′Guillermo Maripán · Torino · 40′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atalanta 2.96 xG · Torino 0.65 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Atalanta
0Draws
2Torino
Torino — Atalanta · Serie A2–1
Atalanta — Torino · Serie A3–0
Torino — Atalanta · Serie A3–0
Torino — Atalanta · Serie A1–2
Atalanta — Torino · Serie A3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atalanta favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Torino in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atalanta23 matchesTorino23 matches
2.13 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/231.04 goals/match
1.13 goals/matchGoals allowed23/231.17 goals/match
1.77 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/230.94 xG/match
14.9 shots/match ▲Shots23/239.87 shots/match
5.7 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/233.43 shots/match
56.5% ●Possession23/2347.8%
4.96 corners/match ●Corners23/234.09 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls23/2312.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Feb 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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