Serie A · 2024

Empoli 0–2 Milan · Serie A

Empoli

DLLDL
0–2Historical match

Milan

DWLWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Milan won 0–2.

Shots
816
Shots on target
05
Expected goals
0.581.32
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Milan beat Empoli 2–0. Recorded in this match (Empoli – Milan): shots 8–16, shots on target 0–5, expected goals 0.58–1.32, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Empoli show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Empoli's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.17 shots/match ▲ShotsEmpoli · Milan15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEmpoliMilanBaseline
Shots9.17 shots/match15 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against15.1 shots/match10.9 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Milan have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.3%PossessionEmpoli · Milan● 54.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricEmpoliMilanBaseline
Possession40.3%54.2%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots16 shotsEmpoli 8 shots, Milan 16 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots5 shotsEmpoli 0 shots, Milan 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.58 xG1.32 xGEmpoli 0.58 xG, Milan 1.32 xG
  • Possession38%62%Empoli 38%, Milan 62%
  • Corners2 corners6 cornersEmpoli 2 corners, Milan 6 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls10 foulsEmpoli 17 fouls, Milan 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Strahinja Pavlović · Milan · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTijjani Reijnders · Milan · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Esposito · Empoli · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoão Félix · Milan · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRafael Leão · Milan · 59′ · 0.03 xG · on targetYunus Musah · Milan · 10′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRafael Leão · Milan · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChristian Pulišić · Milan · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Giménez · Milan · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoão Félix · Milan · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Colombo · Empoli · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTheo Hernández · Milan · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRafael Leão · Milan · 51′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoão Félix · Milan · 72′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSaba Goglichidze · Empoli · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLuca Marianucci · Empoli · 57′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Grassi · Empoli · 15′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRafael Leão · Milan · 68′ · 0.11 xG · goalIsmael Konate · Empoli · 88′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Colombo · Empoli · 33′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJoão Félix · Milan · 61′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLuca Marianucci · Empoli · 57′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Giménez · Milan · 76′ · 0.16 xG · goalJoão Félix · Milan · 82′ · 0.49 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Empoli: 8 shots, 0 on target, 0.72 xG. Milan: 16 shots, 5 on target, 1.34 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Rafael Leão · Milan · 68′Santiago Giménez · Milan · 76′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Empoli 0.72 xG · Milan 1.34 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Empoli
1Draws
4Milan
Milan — Empoli · Serie A3–0
Milan — Empoli · Serie A1–0
Empoli — Milan · Serie A0–3
Milan — Empoli · Serie A0–0
Empoli — Milan · Serie A1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Empoli favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Milan in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Empoli24 matchesMilan23 matches
0.92 goals/matchGoals scored24/23▲ 1.52 goals/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowed24/23▲ 1.04 goals/match
0.81 xG/matchExpected goals24/23▲ 1.65 xG/match
9.17 shots/matchShots24/23▲ 15 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target24/23▲ 5.48 shots/match
40.3%Possession24/23● 54.2%
4.54 corners/matchCorners24/23● 5.91 corners/match
15 fouls/matchFouls24/2311 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Feb 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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