Serie A · 2024

Inter 2–1 Fiorentina · Serie A

Inter

DWWDL
2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter won 2–1.

Shots
227
Shots on target
82
Expected goals
2.171.03
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Fiorentina 2–1. Recorded in this match (Inter – Fiorentina): shots 22–7, shots on target 8–2, expected goals 2.17–1.03, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Inter, Fiorentina.

4 days ▲Rest daysInter · Fiorentina4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricInterFiorentinaBaseline
Rest days4 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Fiorentina's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fiorentina's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fiorentina show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Fiorentina's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.7 shots/match ▲ShotsInter · Fiorentina12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInterFiorentinaBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against9.08 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots7 shotsInter 22 shots, Fiorentina 7 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots2 shotsInter 8 shots, Fiorentina 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.17 xG1.03 xGInter 2.17 xG, Fiorentina 1.03 xG
  • Possession62%38%Inter 62%, Fiorentina 38%
  • Corners8 corners1 cornerInter 8 corners, Fiorentina 1 corner
  • Fouls16 fouls15 foulsInter 16 fouls, Fiorentina 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Inter
0Draws
2Fiorentina
Fiorentina — Inter · Serie A3–0
Fiorentina — Inter · Serie A0–1
Inter — Fiorentina · Serie A4–0
Inter — Fiorentina · Serie A0–1
Fiorentina — Inter · Serie A3–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Inter favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Fiorentina in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Inter24 matchesFiorentina24 matches
2.42 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/241.71 goals/match
0.96 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.04 goals/match
1.9 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/241.34 xG/match
15.7 shots/match ▲Shots24/2412.4 shots/match
5.71 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/244.71 shots/match
60.1% ●Possession24/2449.7%
6.29 corners/match ●Corners24/244.29 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls24/2411.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 10 Feb 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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