Serie A · 2024Mon, 10 Feb 2025, 19:45 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Inter

DWWDL

2–1Full-time recap

Fiorentina

LDWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Inter	Fiorentina
Shots	22 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	2.17 xG/match▲	1.03 xG/match
Possession	62%●	38%
Corners	8 corners/match●	1 corners/match
Fouls	16 fouls/match	15 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Inter, Fiorentina. A second useful context is: Fiorentina's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Inter, Fiorentina.

4 days▲Rest daysInter · Fiorentina4 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Inter	Fiorentina	Baseline
Rest days	4 days	4 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Fiorentina's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fiorentina's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.2 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	10.2 shots/match	12.4 shots/match	12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fiorentina show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Fiorentina's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.7 shots/match▲ShotsInter · Fiorentina12.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Inter	Fiorentina	Baseline
Shots	15.7 shots/match	12.4 shots/match	12.8 shots/match
Shots against	9.08 shots/match	12.1 shots/match	12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Inter

0Draws

2Fiorentina

6 Feb 2025Fiorentina — Inter · Serie A3–0

28 Jan 2024Fiorentina — Inter · Serie A0–1

3 Sept 2023Inter — Fiorentina · Serie A4–0

1 Apr 2023Inter — Fiorentina · Serie A0–1

22 Oct 2022Fiorentina — Inter · Serie A3–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Inter favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Fiorentina in 0 · 2 too close

2.42 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 24/241.71 goals/match

0.96 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 24/241.04 goals/match

1.9 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 24/241.34 xG/match

0.83 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 24/241.03 xG/match

15.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 24/2412.4 shots/match

9.08 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 24/2412.1 shots/match

5.71 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 24/244.71 shots/match

3.25 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 24/243.96 shots/match

60.1%●Possessionseason · 24/2449.7%

6.29 corners/match●Cornersseason · 24/244.29 corners/match

3.21 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 24/244.29 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 24/2411.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

46%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 24/2433%

96%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 24/2483%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Inter97.5

Fiorentina52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Inter95.8

Fiorentina63.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Inter87.5

Fiorentina65.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Inter72.5

Fiorentina42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Inter17.5

Fiorentina37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Inter97.5

Fiorentina35

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Inter76.2

Fiorentina45.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Inter24 matchesFiorentina24 matches

2.42 goals/match▲Goals scored24/241.71 goals/match

0.96 goals/match▲Goals allowed24/241.04 goals/match

1.9 xG/match▲Expected goals24/241.34 xG/match

15.7 shots/match▲Shots24/2412.4 shots/match

5.71 shots/match▲Shots on target24/244.71 shots/match

60.1%●Possession24/2449.7%

6.29 corners/match●Corners24/244.29 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFouls24/2411.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Inter12 matchesFiorentina12 matches

2.33 goals/match▲Goals scored12/121.58 goals/match

1.17 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲1 goals/match

1.89 xG/match▲Expected goals12/121.04 xG/match

16.9 shots/match▲Shots12/1211.2 shots/match

5.92 shots/match▲Shots on target12/124.08 shots/match

58.9%●Possession12/1251.1%

7.83 corners/match●Corners12/123.42 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls12/1211.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples24 / 24home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 10 Feb 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4